SYSTEM STATUS: Online WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 @ +158) WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1 @ +154) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -106) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -101) WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1 @ +121) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 @ +330) WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 @ +162) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1 @ +291) RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 @ +158) RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1 @ +154) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -106) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -101) RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1 @ +121) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 @ +330) RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 @ +162) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1 @ +291)
MODELS ONLINE / DATA PROVIDER · NOT A BOOKMAKER / EVERY PICK TIMESTAMPED & GRADED / 12 LEAGUES MODELLED
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Model picks & player props
St Kilda Saints
VS
Adelaide Crows

St Kilda Saints vs Adelaide Crows Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 11, 10:54AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

AFL
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sat 18 Apr 2026, 9:35AM
7
Game Picks
18
Player Props
33.3%
Historical Hit Rate
Answer
Model lean: Under 178.5 (Total Points)
For St Kilda Saints vs Adelaide Crows (AFL), model win probability 69.0%, fair odds 1.45, book price -111, model edge +16.4%, this matchup's picks have hit 33.3% across 3 settled results, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sat 18 Apr 2026, 9:35AM at Adelaide Oval.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Total Points
Under
177.5
-111
+ 6 more markets
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🔒
🔒

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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Adelaide CrowsHead to HeadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Saints

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Crows

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For St Kilda Saints vs Adelaide Crows: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Rowan Marshall St Kilda Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera St Kilda Disposals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Cooper Sharman St Kilda Goals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Liam Ryan St Kilda Goals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Taylor Walker Adelaide Crows Goals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
Recent form: won 1 of last 3 settled picks for this matchup.
3
Total Picks
33.3%
Hit Rate
DateMarketPickResult
18 Apr 26 Total Points Under 177.5 ✗ MISS
18 Apr 26 Total Points Under 178.5 ✗ MISS
18 Apr 26 Head to Head Adelaide Crows ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for St Kilda Saints vs Adelaide Crows in the AFL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Saturday 18 April 2026 at Adelaide Oval. The model has generated 7 game picks and 18 player props for this matchup. Historically across 3 settled picks between these two teams, the model has recorded a hit rate of 33.3%. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.