Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Isaac Cumming is Over 2.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 78%, implied 72%, edge +5.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 3, 1:01PM UTC
AFL

Isaac Cumming

Adelaide Crows

+5.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 2.5 -263 (1.38) · $100→$138
+5.1% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 5 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
4.2 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 77.6% · the book's price implies 72.5% · gap +5.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks77.6%—72.5%1.29+5.1%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs: Isaac Cumming Over 2.5 Marks (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Isaac Cumming has been showing some impressive skills lately, especially with his marks. Our numbers suggest he's been grabbing more than usual, hitting a count of 1.5 in recent games, which is way above the typical level. This game against the Western Bulldogs could see him reach over 2.5 marks, especially since the Crows will be looking to control the ball. The only thing to watch out for is how closely matched these teams can be at times. If the Bulldogs step up their defense, it might make things tougher for Cumming. Still, given his current form and the way he's been playing, placing a bet on him to get more than 2.5 marks seems like a solid choice.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Isaac Cumming averaged 14.0 disposals, 0.5 goals and 4.0 marks per game across 6 games in 2024.

14.0
Disposals
0.5
Goals
4.0
Marks
4.2
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Isaac Cumming has cleared 9.5 disposals in 80% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.580%
o10.580%
o11.560%
o12.560%
o13.560%
o14.550%
o16.520%
o17.50%
o18.50%
o19.50%
o20.50%
o21.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Isaac Cumming is averaging 13.0 disposals per game over his last 5.

13.0
Disp · Overall
0.4
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (14 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Isaac Cumming recorded 16 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
14 Sep 24Brisbane Lions16048
7 Sep 24Sydney Swans16034
20 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS6032
14 Jul 24Richmond13025
6 Jul 24Carlton19283
29 Jun 24Adelaide Crows14143
22 Sep 23Collingwood14172
16 Sep 23Port Adelaide11148
9 Sep 23St Kilda10023
27 Aug 23Carlton9143
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Isaac Cumming (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Isaac Cumming is Over 2.5 on Marks. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.1% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 5 September at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.