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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mitchell Hinge is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 83 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 83%, implied 78%, edge +5.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 5:20PM UTC
AFL

Mitchell Hinge

Adelaide Crows

+5.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -357 (1.28) · $100→$128
+5.1% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sun 6 Jul, 5:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
83 in 100
Predicted
19.2 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 83.2% · the book's price implies 78.1% · gap +5.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals83.2%78.1%1.20+5.1%

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AI Analysis

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Mitchell Hinge (Adelaide Crows) Over 14.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Betting enthusiasts looking to capitalize on the upcoming Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons clash at Adelaide Oval should pay attention to Mitchell Hinge in the player_disposals_over market. Priced at 1.28 (-357.14), the bet for Hinge to gather over 14.5 disposals appears promising, especially given his recent form. Hinge's last five games showcase an impressive disposals average of 17.4, with a standout performance against Melbourne, boasting an average of 23 disposals in their past encounters. Hinge's consistency is highlighted by his current hit streak, having exceeded the 14.5 disposals line in his last three matches. Moreover, his remarkable track record at home, with a 28-game hit streak, reinforces confidence in his ability to deliver against the Demons. As Adelaide takes on Melbourne, Hinge is positioned to maintain his momentum, making this prop bet an attractive option for those seeking to leverage his form. With Adelaide Oval as the venue, Hinge is set to thrive in familiar territory, enhancing the likelihood of surpassing the 14.5 disposals mark and providing bettors with a compelling opportunity.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Mitchell Hinge averaged 22.0 disposals, 0.1 goals and 4.9 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

22.0
Disposals
0.1
Goals
4.9
Marks
2.5
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Sydney Swans), Mitchell Hinge recorded 17 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Sydney Swans17022
17 Aug 24Port Adelaide19143
11 Aug 24Western Bulldogs16051
3 Aug 24Geelong Cats18062
28 Jul 24Hawthorn17072
19 Jul 24Essendon24031
7 Jul 24Brisbane Lions12026
29 Jun 24GWS GIANTS31083
15 Jun 24Sydney Swans33085
6 Jun 24Richmond22020
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Mitchell Hinge (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mitchell Hinge is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.1% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Adelaide Crows on Sunday 6 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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