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The latest Bet Better model pick for Mitchell Hinge is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 83%, versus the book's implied 78%, for a model edge of +5.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:35PM UTC
AFL

Mitchell Hinge

Adelaide Crows

+5.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -357 (1.28) · $100→$128
+5.1% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sun 6 Jul, 5:15AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Model Probability
83.2%
Implied Probability
78.1%
Model Edge
+5.1%
Predicted Value
19.2 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals83.2%78.1%1.20+5.1%

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AI Analysis

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Mitchell Hinge (Adelaide Crows) Over 14.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Betting enthusiasts looking to capitalize on the upcoming Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons clash at Adelaide Oval should pay attention to Mitchell Hinge in the player_disposals_over market. Priced at 1.28 (-357.14), the bet for Hinge to gather over 14.5 disposals appears promising, especially given his recent form. Hinge's last five games showcase an impressive disposals average of 17.4, with a standout performance against Melbourne, boasting an average of 23 disposals in their past encounters. Hinge's consistency is highlighted by his current hit streak, having exceeded the 14.5 disposals line in his last three matches. Moreover, his remarkable track record at home, with a 28-game hit streak, reinforces confidence in his ability to deliver against the Demons. As Adelaide takes on Melbourne, Hinge is positioned to maintain his momentum, making this prop bet an attractive option for those seeking to leverage his form. With Adelaide Oval as the venue, Hinge is set to thrive in familiar territory, enhancing the likelihood of surpassing the 14.5 disposals mark and providing bettors with a compelling opportunity.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
20.9avg disposals recent
Season best33
Disposals last 10avg 20.9 · hi 33 · lo 12
22333112241718161917

Mitchell Hinge has a disposals high of 33 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Mitchell Hinge (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mitchell Hinge is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.1% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Adelaide Crows on Sunday 6 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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