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AFL

Tom Lynch

Richmond

+12.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -556 (1.18)
+12.8% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 9 Aug, 3:20AM
Model Probability
97.6%
Implied Probability
84.7%
Model Edge
+12.8%
Predicted Value
2.0 Goals

AI Analysis

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Tom Lynch (Richmond) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-556)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Tom Lynch is a strong candidate to score anytime against St Kilda based on his recent performance trends. With an average of 1.4 goals in his last 5 home games and a consistent 51.3% goal accuracy, Lynch has been a reliable finisher. His involvement in the Tigers' forward play is evident with 4.8 score involvements per game. Against St Kilda, he has maintained an average of 1 goal per game in their last encounters. With an average of 3.6 shots at goal and 2.2 inside 50s in his recent home games, Lynch is often in scoring positions. Given his solid form and the model's prediction of 2 goals, Lynch is poised to surpass the over 0.5 goal line set by sportsbet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 60.0% (30/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 25 St Kilda Saints @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over -556 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 25 St Kilda Saints @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over -556 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 25 St Kilda Saints @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 25 St Kilda Saints @ Richmond Tigers Goals Pending
29 Jun 25 Adelaide Crows @ Richmond Tigers Goals Pending
29 Jun 25 Adelaide Crows @ Richmond Tigers Goals Pending

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