Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Max Michalanney is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 68 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 68%, the price says 75%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 8:48AM UTC
AFL

Max Michalanney

Adelaide Crows

Value call

Max Michalanney (Adelaide Crows) has one live pick today: Disposals Over 11.5 that pays $134 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -294 (1.34) · $100→$134
Value call
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
68 in 100
Predicted
15.5 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 68.1% · before adjusting for past results 81.2% · the book's price implies 74.6% · gap -6.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals81.2%68.1%74.6%1.47+6.5%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Max Michalanney Over 11.5 Disposals (-294)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Max Michalanney faces a tough challenge against the Brisbane Lions, who are known for their strong midfield play. However, he has a good chance to rack up disposals, especially since he has been finding his rhythm lately. Our numbers suggest that he should grab over 11.5 disposals in this matchup at the Gabba, and we see him as a strong favorite to do so. One thing to keep in mind is that the Lions can be aggressive, which might make it harder for him to get the ball. Still, the way he has been performing lately makes this bet look promising. Just remember that while the stats are on his side, there's never a guarantee in sports.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Max Michalanney averaged 14.9 disposals, 0.0 goals and 5.3 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

14.9
Disposals
0.0
Goals
5.3
Marks
2.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Sydney Swans), Max Michalanney recorded 11 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Sydney Swans11043
17 Aug 24Port Adelaide16044
11 Aug 24Western Bulldogs18074
3 Aug 24Geelong Cats17083
28 Jul 24Hawthorn16074
19 Jul 24Essendon15061
13 Jul 24St Kilda10002
7 Jul 24Brisbane Lions16063
29 Jun 24GWS GIANTS11061
15 Jun 24Sydney Swans16043
Quick answers:How many disposals does Max Michalanney average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 11.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 10.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 9.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Max Michalanney (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Max Michalanney is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.5% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.