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The latest Bet Better model pick for Max Michalanney is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 82%, versus the book's implied 82%, for a model edge of +0.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
AFL

Max Michalanney

Adelaide Crows

+0.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -455 (1.22)
+0.1% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Thu 4 Sep, 9:40AM
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Model Probability
82.1%
Implied Probability
82.0%
Model Edge
+0.1%
Predicted Value
14.1 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals82.1%—82.0%1.22+0.1%

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AI Analysis

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Max Michalanney (Adelaide Crows) Over 9.5 Disposals (-455)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Max Michalanney is poised to surpass 9.5 disposals against Collingwood at Adelaide Oval. With a strong model prediction of 14.1, only a slight edge of 0.1% is needed to justify this bet. His recent form, averaging 13.4 disposals in the last 5 home games, exceeds the set line. Against Collingwood, he averages 12 disposals at home and 11 overall, indicating his consistency. Michalanney's proficiency is evident with 74.6% disposal efficiency and 274 metres gained on average. Despite a recent downturn in contested possessions, his overall stats remain solid. With a track record of hitting 15 out of 17 at home and 5 out of 6 overall, Michalanney is primed to maintain his disposals streak.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
14.6avg disposals recent
Season best25
Disposals last 10avg 14.6 · hi 18 · lo 10
16111610151617181611

Max Michalanney has a disposals high of 25 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Max Michalanney (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Max Michalanney is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Adelaide Crows on Thursday 4 September at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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