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AFL

Max Michalanney

Adelaide Crows

Value call

Max Michalanney (Adelaide Crows) has one live pick today: over 12.5 disposals that pays $158 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
15.5 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 61.3% · before adjusting for past results 74.7% · the book's price implies 63.3% · gap -2.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 7:35 PM AEST
Max Michalanney
over 12.5 disposals
Disposals Over 12.5 -172 (1.58) · $100→$158
Value call
HIGHWins about 61 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.80 Odds-172
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Max Michalanney is Over 12.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 61%, the price says 63%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 7:01PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.7%61.3%63.3%1.63+11.4%

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AI Analysis

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Max Michalanney Over 12.5 Disposals (-172)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Brisbane Lions are up against Adelaide Crows, and Max Michalanney has a solid chance to shine. He's been getting more than 12.5 disposals lately, showing he can handle the pressure in big games. Our numbers suggest he should be able to hit that mark again, especially with the way he's been playing. However, the Crows are a tough team, and they can put up a fight. If they manage to shut him down early, it could make things tricky. Still, with the way he's been performing, betting on over 12.5 disposals for Michalanney feels like a smart choice. Let's see how it goes!

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Max Michalanney averaged 14.9 disposals, 0.0 goals and 5.3 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

14.9
Disposals
0.0
Goals
5.3
Marks
2.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Sydney Swans), Max Michalanney recorded 11 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Sydney Swans11043
17 Aug 24Port Adelaide16044
11 Aug 24Western Bulldogs18074
3 Aug 24Geelong Cats17083
28 Jul 24Hawthorn16074
19 Jul 24Essendon15061
13 Jul 24St Kilda10002
7 Jul 24Brisbane Lions16063
29 Jun 24GWS GIANTS11061
15 Jun 24Sydney Swans16043
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 12.5 Over -172 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 11.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 10.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Max Michalanney (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Max Michalanney is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.4% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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