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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Max Michalanney is Over 12.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 54 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 54%, implied 63%, edge +12.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 6:37PM UTC
AFL

Max Michalanney

Adelaide Crows

+12.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -167 (1.60) · $100→$160
+12.3% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 22 Aug, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
15.6 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 74.8% · the book's price implies 62.5% · gap +12.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.8%54.2%62.5%1.84+12.3%

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AI Analysis

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Max Michalanney (Adelaide Crows) Over 12.5 Disposals (-167)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to hit the over on disposals, Max Michalanney of the Adelaide Crows stands out. In his last five home games, Max has been a midfield maestro, averaging 14.6 disposals with a stellar disposal efficiency of 80.9%. Facing the Greater Western Sydney Giants, he has historically outperformed his average against them, with 12.3 disposals in their last five encounters. With his ability to find space, rack up kicks (averaging 9.2), and cover ground efficiently (averaging 296.6 meters gained), Max is poised to be a key playmaker. Bet on Max to thrive in the midfield battle, surpassing the 12.5 disposals line set by sportsbet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Max Michalanney averaged 14.9 disposals, 0.0 goals and 5.3 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

14.9
Disposals
0.0
Goals
5.3
Marks
2.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Sydney Swans), Max Michalanney recorded 11 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Sydney Swans11043
17 Aug 24Port Adelaide16044
11 Aug 24Western Bulldogs18074
3 Aug 24Geelong Cats17083
28 Jul 24Hawthorn16074
19 Jul 24Essendon15061
13 Jul 24St Kilda10002
7 Jul 24Brisbane Lions16063
29 Jun 24GWS GIANTS11061
15 Jun 24Sydney Swans16043
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 12.5 Over -167 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 11.5 Over -263 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Max Michalanney (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Max Michalanney is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.3% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 22 August at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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