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AFL

Riley Thilthorpe

Adelaide Crows

+11.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 1.5 -161 (1.62)
+11.0% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 14 Mar, 8:35AM
Model Probability
72.7%
Implied Probability
61.7%
Model Edge
+11.0%
Predicted Value
2.0 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Riley Thilthorpe (Adelaide Crows) Over 1.5 Goals (-161)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Riley Thilthorpe is on fire away from home, averaging a whopping 3.4 goals per game in his last five road clashes. His accuracy in front of the big sticks sits at a respectable 58.3%, making him a reliable scoring threat. Thilthorpe's ability to impact the game is evident, with an average of 8.8 score involvements per match. Against Collingwood, he has historically found the goals, averaging 0.5 goals in their past encounters. Additionally, Thilthorpe's recent form is impressive, boasting a 4-game goal streak away and a 3-game streak overall. With a line set at just 1.5 goals, backing Thilthorpe to snag a couple of snags seems like a solid bet for this clash at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 72.0% (36/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 1.5 Over -161 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Goals Pending
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Goals Pending
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Goals Pending

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