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AFL

Riley Thilthorpe

Adelaide Crows

+0.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 1.5 -263 (1.38)
+0.2% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sat 18 Apr, 9:35AM
Model Probability
72.7%
Implied Probability
72.5%
Model Edge
+0.2%
Predicted Value
2.0 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Riley Thilthorpe (Adelaide Crows) Over 1.5 Goals (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Riley Thilthorpe, the young gun for the Adelaide Crows, is poised to light up the Adelaide Oval against the St Kilda Saints. In his last 5 home games, Thilthorpe has been a force to be reckoned with, averaging a solid 1.8 goals per game. His accuracy in front of the big sticks sits at an impressive 73.3%, showcasing his ability to convert opportunities into majors. With an average of 3 shots on goal per game and 2.2 marks inside 50, Thilthorpe consistently positions himself to impact the scoreboard. His recent form against St Kilda has seen him snagging an average of 1.8 goals per game, indicating a knack for exploiting their defense. Backing Thilthorpe to snag Over 1.5 goals in this clash is a calculated move, given his recent home dominance and historical success against St Kilda. Watch out for him to make his mark on the game and deliver for the Crows.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 62.5% (5/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Goals 1.5 Over -152 ✗ MISS
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Goals 1.5 Over -182 ✓ HIT
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Goals Pending
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Goals Pending
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Goals Pending

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About This Player

Riley Thilthorpe (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 62.5% (5/8). The latest model pick for Riley Thilthorpe is Over 1.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is St Kilda Saints vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 18 April at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.