Logo BET BETTER PRO TERMINAL
AFL

Riley Thilthorpe

Adelaide Crows

+12.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 1.5 -152 (1.66)
+12.4% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Thu 26 Mar, 8:30AM
Model Probability
72.7%
Implied Probability
60.2%
Model Edge
+12.4%
Predicted Value
2.0 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Riley Thilthorpe (Adelaide Crows) Over 1.5 Goals (-152)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Riley Thilthorpe is the man to watch in this clash between the Geelong Cats and Adelaide Crows. His recent form on the road has been nothing short of impressive, bagging an average of 4 goals in his last 5 away games. With a sharp goal accuracy of 70.3% and an average of 5.6 shots at goal per game, Thilthorpe is a consistent threat in front of the big sticks. Additionally, his ability to impact the game is evident through his average of 8.8 score involvements and 4 marks inside 50 in away matches. Facing the Cats, who have conceded an average of 1 goal per game to similar forwards, Thilthorpe's current hit streak of 5 and overall goal average of 2.6 further solidify his potential to snag 2 goals or more in this bout. Betting on Thilthorpe to go over 1.5 goals is a calculated move backed by his undeniable impact on the scoreboard.

Full AI analysis is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis

Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (9 picks) 66.7% (6/9)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Goals 1.5 Over -152 ✗ MISS
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Goals 1.5 Over -182 ✓ HIT
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Goals Pending
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Goals Pending
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Goals Pending

Full pick history is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full History

About This Player

Riley Thilthorpe (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 9 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (6/9). The latest model pick for Riley Thilthorpe is Over 1.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.4% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats on Thursday 26 March at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.