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Model picks & player props
Western Bulldogs
VS
Adelaide Crows

Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 1:31AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

AFL
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Outdoor
Fri 20 Mar 2026, 8:40AM
6
Game markets graded
22
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Western Bulldogs -0.5 Spread -112

The model graded 28 markets for Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows (AFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $189 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 20 Mar 2026, 8:40AM at Adelaide Oval.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win66.2%
The price says52.9%
Best price-112
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Western Bulldogs -0.5 High66% chance -112
Moneyline High60% chance
Disposals × 14 props Highup to 89%
Goals × 8 props Highup to 96%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 12 bookmakers compared
Winner
Bulldogs3.05+205Betfair Exchange
Adelaide Crows1.47-213Betfair Exchange
Total points
Over165.51.89-112Sportsbet
Under165.51.87-115Sportsbet

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Western Bulldogs
-0.5
+ 5 more markets
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All 6 game markets and 22 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,376+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Western BulldogsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Western BulldogsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Adelaide Crows on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Adelaide Crows
Exact move size 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Bulldogs

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Crows

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Matthew Kennedy Western Bulldogs Disposals
Jake Soligo Adelaide Crows Disposals
Bailey Dale Western Bulldogs Disposals
Taylor Walker Adelaide Crows Goals
Rory Laird Adelaide Crows Disposals

+ 22 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows — what the model found

Our model graded 28 betting markets for Western Bulldogs at Adelaide Crows — 6 on the game itself and 22 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded
22
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 28 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 27 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows — recent results

Adelaide Crows have won 3 of their last 5 games; Western Bulldogs have won 2 of their last 5.

Adelaide Crows — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W157–101GWSHome
L88–112FREAway
W63–54RICHHome
W145–73ESSAway
L74–108COLLHome
Western Bulldogs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W96–93COLLHome
W108–87MELBAway
D82–82CARLHome
L77–100NMFCHome
L41–78FREAway

Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Adelaide Crows won 1, Western Bulldogs won 0.

DateAdelaide CrowsWestern BulldogsWinner
Jun 1112164Adelaide Crows

Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows — where the money went

Since betting opened on Western Bulldogs at Adelaide Crows, the market has moved away from Adelaide Crows across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — Adelaide Crows -16.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Western Bulldogs 16.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows — model preview

Winning bets for Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs? We break down odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Sam Berry. Explore AFL predictions, AFL game picks, betting preview, Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs stats and odds.

Sam Berry (Adelaide Crows) Over 14.5 Disposals (-169)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to hit the over on disposals, Sam Berry is our man for the Adelaide Crows. In his last five home games, Berry has been a workhorse, averaging 14.2 disposals per game. Against the upcoming opponent, the Western Bulldogs, he's even better, averaging 14 disposals in their recent matchups. With an overall disposals average of 16.2 in his last five games, Berry has shown consistent form. Additionally, his contested possessions have been solid at 9 per game, implying he's not just padding stats with easy touches. Playing at the Adelaide Oval, where he's comfortable, Berry is poised to surpass the 14.5 disposals line comfortably. Bet on Berry to rack up the possessions and drive your wager home.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows in the AFL. You may also see this matchup written as Bulldogs vs Crows, or as Crows vs Bulldogs. The most recent game between them was Friday 20 March 2026 at Adelaide Oval. The model has generated 6 game picks and 22 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Adelaide Crows 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
11 Jun 2026Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs64–121Adelaide Crows
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