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The latest Bet Better model pick for Rory Laird is Under 25.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 72%, implied 53%, edge +18.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 6:39PM UTC
AFL

Rory Laird

Adelaide Crows

+18.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 25.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+18.5% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Fri 20 Mar, 8:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
22.6 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.6% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +18.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.6%—53.2%1.40+18.5%

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AI Analysis

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Rory Laird (Adelaide Crows) Under 25.5 Disposals (-114)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Rory Laird, the midfield maestro for the Adelaide Crows, is set to showcase his skills at the Adelaide Oval against the Western Bulldogs. Laird's recent form paints a compelling picture for our bet on him to go under 25.5 disposals. Over his last 5 home games, he's averaged 24.4 disposals, just shy of the line. His contested possession average of 10 and intercepts at 6.8 demonstrate his ability to impact the game. Against the Bulldogs, he's maintained an average of 28 disposals over the last 5 matches, but Laird's overall disposals sit at 25.4 recently. With a strong defensive presence and efficient ball use, Laird may not hit the high disposal mark set by the bookies this time. Bet on Laird to fall under 25.5 disposals for a smart play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Rory Laird averaged 27.6 disposals, 0.1 goals and 3.6 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

27.6
Disposals
0.1
Goals
3.6
Marks
5.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Sydney Swans), Rory Laird recorded 28 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Sydney Swans28062
17 Aug 24Port Adelaide24023
11 Aug 24Western Bulldogs28054
3 Aug 24Geelong Cats29065
28 Jul 24Hawthorn29038
19 Jul 24Essendon29027
13 Jul 24St Kilda310213
7 Jul 24Brisbane Lions27055
29 Jun 24GWS GIANTS23045
15 Jun 24Sydney Swans34066
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Rory Laird (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Rory Laird is Under 25.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.5% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Friday 20 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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