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AFL

Rory Laird

Adelaide Crows

Value call

Rory Laird (Adelaide Crows) has one live pick today: over 9.5 kicks that pays $147 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
63 in 100
Predicted
12.8 kicks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 62.9% · before adjusting for past results 75.3% · the book's price implies 68.0% · gap -5.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 7:35 PM AEST
Rory Laird
over 9.5 kicks
Kicks Over 9.5 -213 (1.47) · $100→$147
Value call
HIGHWins about 63 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.70 Odds-213
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Rory Laird is Over 9.5 on Kicks.
On Kicks, our numbers say this bet wins about 63 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 63%, the price says 68%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 7:19PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Kicks75.3%62.9%68.0%1.59+7.3%

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AI Analysis

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Rory Laird Over 9.5 Kicks (-213)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Brisbane Lions face off against Adelaide Crows, and Rory Laird is a key player to watch. He usually gets a fair number of kicks, and our numbers suggest he has a solid chance to hit over 9.5 kicks in this game. Laird's form has been strong lately, and he tends to step up when the game is on the line. One thing to consider is that both teams are closely matched, which could lead to a more contested game. Still, Laird's ability to find the ball makes this bet look good. With the Lions playing at the Gabba, the home advantage might just help him stay active on the field.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Rory Laird averaged 27.6 disposals, 0.1 goals and 3.6 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

27.6
Disposals
0.1
Goals
3.6
Marks
5.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Sydney Swans), Rory Laird recorded 28 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Sydney Swans28062
17 Aug 24Port Adelaide24023
11 Aug 24Western Bulldogs28054
3 Aug 24Geelong Cats29065
28 Jul 24Hawthorn29038
19 Jul 24Essendon29027
13 Jul 24St Kilda310213
7 Jul 24Brisbane Lions27055
29 Jun 24GWS GIANTS23045
15 Jun 24Sydney Swans34066
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Kicks 9.5 Over -213 ✗ MISS
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Marks 4.5 Over -200 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 18.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Fantasy — — — Pending
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Marks — — — Pending
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Rory Laird (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Rory Laird is Over 9.5 on Kicks. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.3% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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