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The latest Bet Better model pick for Rory Laird is Under 25.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 72%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +18.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
AFL

Rory Laird

Adelaide Crows

+18.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Under 25.5 -114 (1.88)
+18.5% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Fri 20 Mar, 8:40AM
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Model Probability
71.6%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+18.5%
Predicted Value
22.6 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.6%—53.2%1.40+18.5%

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AI Analysis

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Rory Laird (Adelaide Crows) Under 25.5 Disposals (-114)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Rory Laird, the midfield maestro for the Adelaide Crows, is set to showcase his skills at the Adelaide Oval against the Western Bulldogs. Laird's recent form paints a compelling picture for our bet on him to go under 25.5 disposals. Over his last 5 home games, he's averaged 24.4 disposals, just shy of the line. His contested possession average of 10 and intercepts at 6.8 demonstrate his ability to impact the game. Against the Bulldogs, he's maintained an average of 28 disposals over the last 5 matches, but Laird's overall disposals sit at 25.4 recently. With a strong defensive presence and efficient ball use, Laird may not hit the high disposal mark set by the bookies this time. Bet on Laird to fall under 25.5 disposals for a smart play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
28.2avg disposals recent
Season best34
Disposals last 10avg 28.2 · hi 34 · lo 23
34232731292929282428

Rory Laird has a disposals high of 34 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Rory Laird (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Rory Laird is Under 25.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.5% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Friday 20 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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