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The latest Bet Better model pick for Luke Nankervis is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 80%, versus the book's implied 78%, for a model edge of +1.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:06PM UTC
AFL

Luke Nankervis

Adelaide Crows

+1.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -357 (1.28)
+1.6% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 14 Mar, 8:35AM
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Model Probability
79.7%
Implied Probability
78.1%
Model Edge
+1.6%
Predicted Value
13.7 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals79.7%—78.1%1.25+1.6%

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AI Analysis

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Luke Nankervis (Adelaide Crows) Over 9.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to finding value in the 'Player Disposals Over/Under' market, Luke Nankervis stands out as a prime target for the upcoming clash between the Adelaide Crows and Collingwood Magpies at the MCG. Nankervis has been a consistent force, averaging 12.6 disposals in his last five away games, with a solid 67.9% disposal efficiency to boot. Facing Collingwood, he has historically ramped up his performance, averaging 15 disposals in their recent encounters. With his current form showing a hit rate of 3/3 in away games and a streak of 2 overall, Nankervis is poised to surpass the 9.5 disposals line. This bet isn't just about numbers; it's about Nankervis' ability to impact games and create opportunities for the Crows. Expect him to thrive in this matchup and snag more than his fair share of possessions.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
16.7avg disposals recent
Season best28
Disposals last 10avg 16.7 · hi 22 · lo 12
17151920122214131619

Luke Nankervis has a disposals high of 28 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Luke Nankervis (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Luke Nankervis is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.6% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Collingwood Magpies on Saturday 14 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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