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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Alex Neal-Bullen is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 60%, the price says 72%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 8:55AM UTC
AFL

Alex Neal-Bullen

Adelaide Crows

Value call

Alex Neal-Bullen (Adelaide Crows) has one live pick today: Disposals Over 13.5 that pays $138 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -263 (1.38) · $100→$138
Value call
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 20°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
16.5 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 60.4% · before adjusting for past results 72.6% · the book's price implies 72.5% · gap -12.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.6%60.4%72.5%1.66+0.1%

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AI Analysis

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Alex Neal-Bullen Over 13.5 Disposals (-263)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

At the Gabba, the Brisbane Lions are on fire, winning 9 of their last 10 games and smashing their opponents by an average of 31.3 points. Alex Neal-Bullen has a solid chance to rack up more than 13.5 disposals, especially since both teams have been scoring high before halftime. The Adelaide Crows have also been strong, winning 7 of their last 10, but their average margin is not as wide as Brisbane's. One thing to note is that the Crows have been playing well too, so it might be a closer game than expected. Still, with Brisbane's impressive form and Neal-Bullen's ability to get his hands on the ball, this bet looks promising. Just remember, while the numbers suggest a good chance, there's never a guarantee in sports.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Alex Neal-Bullen averaged 18.8 disposals, 0.4 goals and 3.3 marks per game across 23 games in 2024.

18.8
Disposals
0.4
Goals
3.3
Marks
5.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (23 Aug 24 vs Collingwood), Alex Neal-Bullen recorded 19 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
23 Aug 24Collingwood19054
17 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS22077
10 Aug 24Port Adelaide24144
2 Aug 24Western Bulldogs13035
27 Jul 24GWS GIANTS151211
21 Jul 24Fremantle16054
13 Jul 24Essendon25022
7 Jul 24West Coast Eagles20054
28 Jun 24Brisbane Lions18035
22 Jun 24North Melbourne15139
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 13.5 Over -263 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 13.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Goals Pending
03 Jul 26 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Disposals Pending
11 Jun 26 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Alex Neal-Bullen (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alex Neal-Bullen is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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