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The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Worrell is Over 18.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 84%, versus the book's implied 83%, for a model edge of +0.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:03PM UTC
AFL

Josh Worrell

Adelaide Crows

+0.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 18.5 -500 (1.20)
+0.2% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 3 Jul, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
83.5%
Implied Probability
83.3%
Model Edge
+0.2%
Predicted Value
23.3 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals83.5%—83.3%1.20+0.2%

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AI Analysis

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Josh Worrell (Adelaide Crows) Over 18.5 Disposals (-500)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to hit the over on disposals, Josh Worrell is the man to watch in the upcoming clash between Adelaide Crows and West Coast Eagles. Riding a hot streak with 4 consecutive away games hitting his disposal mark, Worrell is locked in and ready to shine. Averaging a solid 21.4 disposals in his last 5 away games, with a stellar disposal efficiency of 87.5%, he's been a key playmaker for the Crows. Against the Eagles, he's even more impressive, boasting an average of 17.4 disposals in their head-to-head matchups. Worrell's recent form also includes a strong overall average of 23 disposals, showcasing his ability to consistently find the footy. With his current hit streak of 7 games and reliable performance metrics, backing Worrell to go over 18.5 disposals is a smart bet for this contest at Optus Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
17.8avg disposals recent
Season best22
Disposals last 10avg 17.8 · hi 22 · lo 12
19122118221221211715

Josh Worrell has a disposals high of 22 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Jul 26 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 18.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
03 Jul 26 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 17.5 Over -714 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Josh Worrell (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Worrell is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs West Coast Eagles on Friday 3 July at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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