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The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Worrell is Over 18.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 84 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 84%, implied 83%, edge +0.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 8:43PM UTC
AFL

Josh Worrell

Adelaide Crows

+0.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 18.5 -500 (1.20) · $100→$120
+0.2% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth, WA · Outdoor
Fri 3 Jul, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
84 in 100
Predicted
23.3 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 83.5% · the book's price implies 83.3% · gap +0.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals83.5%—83.3%1.20+0.2%

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AI Analysis

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Josh Worrell (Adelaide Crows) Over 18.5 Disposals (-500)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to hit the over on disposals, Josh Worrell is the man to watch in the upcoming clash between Adelaide Crows and West Coast Eagles. Riding a hot streak with 4 consecutive away games hitting his disposal mark, Worrell is locked in and ready to shine. Averaging a solid 21.4 disposals in his last 5 away games, with a stellar disposal efficiency of 87.5%, he's been a key playmaker for the Crows. Against the Eagles, he's even more impressive, boasting an average of 17.4 disposals in their head-to-head matchups. Worrell's recent form also includes a strong overall average of 23 disposals, showcasing his ability to consistently find the footy. With his current hit streak of 7 games and reliable performance metrics, backing Worrell to go over 18.5 disposals is a smart bet for this contest at Optus Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Josh Worrell averaged 17.9 disposals, 0.0 goals and 5.2 marks per game across 13 games in 2024.

17.9
Disposals
0.0
Goals
5.2
Marks
1.5
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Sydney Swans), Josh Worrell recorded 15 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Sydney Swans15040
17 Aug 24Port Adelaide17041
11 Aug 24Western Bulldogs21041
3 Aug 24Geelong Cats21032
12 May 24Brisbane Lions12012
2 May 24Port Adelaide22071
27 Apr 24North Melbourne18092
19 Apr 24Essendon21042
13 Apr 24Carlton12050
4 Apr 24Melbourne19051
Quick answers:How many disposals does Josh Worrell average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Jul 26 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 18.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
03 Jul 26 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Josh Worrell (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Worrell is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs West Coast Eagles on Friday 3 July at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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