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The latest Bet Better model pick for Zac Taylor is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 79 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 79%, implied 78%, edge +1.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 22, 2:07PM UTC
AFL

Zac Taylor

Adelaide Crows

+1.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -357 (1.28) · $100→$128
+1.3% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 22 Aug, 10:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
79 in 100
Predicted
13.1 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 79.5% · the book's price implies 78.1% · gap +1.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals79.5%—78.1%1.26+1.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Zac Taylor (Adelaide Crows) Over 9.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Zac Taylor to rack up over 9.5 disposals in the upcoming clash between Adelaide and GWS, the numbers tell a compelling story. Taylor's recent form at home has been nothing short of impressive, averaging 12.2 disposals per game over his last five matches at Adelaide Oval. His ability to find space and create opportunities has been on full display, with a solid disposal efficiency of 71.7%. Against the Giants, he's been even more influential, averaging 7 disposals per game in their past encounters. With Taylor's knack for contested possessions (4.8 per game) and his consistent ball-winning ability, it's easy to see why he's a strong candidate to surpass the 9.5 disposals mark once again. Backed by his current form and historical performance against GWS, Taylor is primed to deliver another standout midfield performance for the Crows.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Zac Taylor averaged 9.9 disposals, 0.4 goals and 1.4 marks per game across 9 games in 2024.

9.9
Disposals
0.4
Goals
1.4
Marks
3.1
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Zac Taylor has cleared 9.5 disposals in 80% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.580%
o10.570%
o11.560%
o12.550%
o13.550%
o14.540%
o16.520%
o17.510%
o18.50%
o19.50%
o20.50%
o21.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Zac Taylor is averaging 10.6 disposals per game over his last 5.

10.6
Disp · Overall
0.6
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Sydney Swans), Zac Taylor recorded 13 disposals and 3 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Sydney Swans13331
17 Aug 24Port Adelaide5001
11 Aug 24Western Bulldogs3011
3 Aug 24Geelong Cats14035
28 Jul 24Hawthorn9006
19 Jul 24Essendon17126
13 Jul 24St Kilda18028
7 Jul 24Brisbane Lions6010
29 Jun 24GWS GIANTS4010
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Jul 26 Adelaide Crows @ Sydney Swans Disposals 10.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
23 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Zac Taylor (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zac Taylor is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 22 August at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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