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AFL

Zac Taylor

Adelaide Crows

Value call

Zac Taylor (Adelaide Crows) has one live pick today: over 10.5 disposals that pays $141 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
13.1 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 61.2% · before adjusting for past results 72.2% · the book's price implies 70.9% · gap -9.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 7:35 PM AEST
Zac Taylor
over 10.5 disposals
Disposals Over 10.5 -244 (1.41) · $100→$141
Value call
HIGHWins about 61 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.10 Odds-244
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Zac Taylor is Over 10.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 61%, the price says 71%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 7:02PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.2%61.2%70.9%1.63+1.3%

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AI Analysis

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Zac Taylor Over 10.5 Disposals (-244)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

For Zac Taylor to get over 10.5 disposals tonight, he needs to stay active on the field and get his hands on the ball. The Brisbane Lions have been on fire lately, winning 9 of their last 10 games and showing strong play in the first half. This means Zac will likely be involved in the action early and often, which is a good sign for this bet. The Adelaide Crows are no slouch either, winning 7 of their last 10, but they've been slightly less dominant than the Lions overall. The most concrete risk is how close the two teams are in terms of total performance, which could limit chances for Zac. Still, with the Lions' recent form, it feels like a solid pick for tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Zac Taylor averaged 9.9 disposals, 0.4 goals and 1.4 marks per game across 9 games in 2024.

9.9
Disposals
0.4
Goals
1.4
Marks
3.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Sydney Swans), Zac Taylor recorded 13 disposals and 3 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Sydney Swans13331
17 Aug 24Port Adelaide5001
11 Aug 24Western Bulldogs3011
3 Aug 24Geelong Cats14035
28 Jul 24Hawthorn9006
19 Jul 24Essendon17126
13 Jul 24St Kilda18028
7 Jul 24Brisbane Lions6010
29 Jun 24GWS GIANTS4010
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 10.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 9.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
17 Jul 26 Adelaide Crows @ Sydney Swans Disposals 10.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
23 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Zac Taylor (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zac Taylor is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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