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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Zac Taylor is Over 10.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 75%, for a model edge of +0.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 13, 10:28AM UTC
AFL

Zac Taylor

Adelaide Crows

+0.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -294 (1.34)
+0.0% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Fri 17 Jul, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
74.6%
Implied Probability
74.6%
Model Edge
+0.0%
Predicted Value
13.8 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.6%74.6%1.34+0.0%

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Beat the closing line — our published picks in this player's games beat the closing line 0 of 3 times (0%), +0.0% avg CLV. Verified closing-line value.

Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games10/10

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AI Analysis

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Zac Taylor (Adelaide Crows) Over 10.5 Disposals (-294)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, Zac Taylor stands out like a beacon in the darkness. His recent form paints a picture of consistency and reliability, traits any footy punter would love to see in their chosen player. Over his last five away games, Taylor has been a midfield maestro, racking up an average of 13.8 disposals, with a solid disposal efficiency of 78.3% to boot. Facing off against the Sydney Swans, a team he's historically posted strong numbers against, only adds to his appeal. With his current hit streak and a hit rate of 8/9 overall, the smart money is on Taylor snagging more than 10.5 possessions in this clash. Expect him to once again show his class and split the middle with ease at the SCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Zac Taylor (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zac Taylor is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.0% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans on Friday 17 July at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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