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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Zac Taylor is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 69 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 69%, the price says 78%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 8:50AM UTC
AFL

Zac Taylor

Adelaide Crows

Value call

Zac Taylor (Adelaide Crows) has one live pick today: Disposals Over 9.5 that pays $128 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -357 (1.28) · $100→$128
Value call
Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane, QLD · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
69 in 100
Predicted
13.1 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 68.7% · before adjusting for past results 79.4% · the book's price implies 78.1% · gap -9.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals79.4%68.7%78.1%1.46+1.3%

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AI Analysis

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Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows: Zac Taylor Over 9.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

For Zac Taylor to get over 9.5 disposals, he just needs to be active on the field tonight. The Brisbane Lions are in fantastic form, winning 9 out of their last 10 games, and they often push hard early, averaging nearly 50 points before half-time. This gives Zac plenty of chances to get involved and rack up those disposals. While the Adelaide Crows have also been strong, winning 7 of their last 10, the Lions have been finishing games with a bigger margin and more scoring opportunities. The risk here is that both teams score well early, which might limit Zac's chance to contribute more later. Overall, it looks good for him to hit that target tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Zac Taylor averaged 9.9 disposals, 0.4 goals and 1.4 marks per game across 9 games in 2024.

9.9
Disposals
0.4
Goals
1.4
Marks
3.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Sydney Swans), Zac Taylor recorded 13 disposals and 3 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Sydney Swans13331
17 Aug 24Port Adelaide5001
11 Aug 24Western Bulldogs3011
3 Aug 24Geelong Cats14035
28 Jul 24Hawthorn9006
19 Jul 24Essendon17126
13 Jul 24St Kilda18028
7 Jul 24Brisbane Lions6010
29 Jun 24GWS GIANTS4010
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 9.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 10.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT
17 Jul 26 Adelaide Crows @ Sydney Swans Disposals 10.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending
22 Aug 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending
23 Jul 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Zac Taylor (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zac Taylor is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 12 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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