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AFL

Marcus Bontempelli

Western Bulldogs

+4.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 21.5 -769 (1.13)
+4.9% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Fri 17 Apr, 9:20AM
Model Probability
93.4%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+4.9%
Predicted Value
29.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Marcus Bontempelli (Western Bulldogs) Over 21.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to reliable ball-winning machines, Marcus Bontempelli stands tall in the AFL landscape. His recent form is nothing short of stellar, averaging a whopping 28.6 disposals in his last five away games. Bontempelli's ability to find the footy in traffic, with an average of 11.6 contested possessions, makes him a midfield force to be reckoned with. Facing off against Geelong, a team he's historically bossed with an average of 26.8 disposals, Bontempelli is poised to shine once again. His exceptional disposal efficiency of 75.0% and knack for gaining crucial metres on the field (594 in his last five away games) further bolster his case for surpassing the 21.5 disposal line. Backed by a solid hit streak and an impressive hit rate, Bontempelli is primed to snag the Over on disposals in this clash. Bet with confidence on this maestro of the midfield.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (11 picks) 45.5% (5/11)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 21.5 Over -714 ✗ MISS
11 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 22.5 Over -455 ✗ MISS
11 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 23.5 Over -333 ✗ MISS
11 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
11 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals — — — Pending
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Marcus Bontempelli (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 11 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 45.5% (5/11). The latest model pick for Marcus Bontempelli is Over 21.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.9% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Geelong Cats on Friday 17 April at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.