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Taylor Duryea

Western Bulldogs

Value call

Taylor Duryea (Western Bulldogs) has one live pick today: over 9.5 disposals that pays $125 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
82 in 100
Predicted
14.2 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 82.5% · the book's price implies 80.0% · gap +2.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Western Bulldogs @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 3 Jul, 7:30 PM AEST
Taylor Duryea
over 9.5 disposals
Disposals Over 9.5 -400 (1.25) · $100→$125
Value call
HIGHWins about 82 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$12.50 Odds-400
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Taylor Duryea is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 82 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 82%, the price says 80%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 7:19PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals82.5%—80.0%1.21+2.5%

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AI Analysis

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Taylor Duryea (Western Bulldogs) Over 9.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Taylor Duryea is poised to surpass the 9.5 disposals mark against North Melbourne. With a model predicting 14.2 disposals and a 5 standard deviation, Duryea's recent form supports this. In his last 5 away games, he averaged 13.2 disposals, with 13 disposals against North Melbourne in previous matchups. His consistent performance with an 80% implied probability further strengthens this bet. Despite a current hit streak of 0, Duryea boasts a solid 12/14 hit rate in away games, making him a reliable choice to meet or exceed the expected disposals threshold. With his historical data and matchup trends aligning favorably, the Over 9.5 disposals bet on Taylor Duryea presents a high-value opportunity.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Taylor Duryea averaged 14.5 disposals, 0.0 goals and 5.0 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

14.5
Disposals
0.0
Goals
5.0
Marks
2.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (6 Sep 24 vs Hawthorn), Taylor Duryea recorded 11 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
6 Sep 24Hawthorn11055
25 Aug 24GWS GIANTS18032
18 Aug 24North Melbourne200114
11 Aug 24Adelaide Crows11032
2 Aug 24Melbourne12050
28 Jul 24Sydney Swans15054
20 Jul 24Geelong Cats15033
13 Jul 24Carlton18071
6 Jul 24Port Adelaide16062
29 Jun 24North Melbourne7014
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Taylor Duryea (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Taylor Duryea is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.5% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Thursday 3 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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