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AFL

Michael Sellwood

Western Bulldogs

Value call

Michael Sellwood (Western Bulldogs) has one live pick today: over 9.5 disposals that pays $154 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
71 in 100
Predicted
14.0 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 71.2% · before adjusting for past results 83.5% · the book's price implies 64.9% · gap +6.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 5 Sep, 7:35 PM AEST
Michael Sellwood
over 9.5 disposals
Disposals Over 9.5 -185 (1.54) · $100→$154
Value call
HIGHWins about 71 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.40 Odds-185
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Michael Sellwood is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 71 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 71%, the price says 65%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 16, 8:05PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals83.5%71.2%64.9%1.40+18.6%

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AI Analysis

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Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs: Michael Sellwood Over 9.5 Disposals (-185)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Michael Sellwood faces a tough challenge against the Western Bulldogs, but he has been finding ways to stand out. His stats show he gets a lot more chances to make disposals than most players, which is a good sign for our pick of over 9.5 disposals. Sellwood has been racking up impressive numbers, with a high score in recent games that suggests he will keep this going. One worry is that the Bulldogs are a solid team, so they could limit his opportunities. Still, with Sellwood's current form and the way he's been performing, he seems likely to hit that mark. It's not a guarantee, but the signs are pointing in the right direction for this bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Michael Sellwood - AFL Disposals market.

MarksSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Michael Sellwood - AFL Marks market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Michael Sellwood (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Michael Sellwood is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.6% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 5 September at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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