Rhylee West (Western Bulldogs) Over 0.5 Goals (-227)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Rhylee West to kick at least one goal at Marvel Stadium is a bet with genuine model backing. The projection sits at 1.2 goals against a line of just 0.5, generating a 5.9% edge over the implied probability of 69.4% — that's a meaningful gap at these odds. His home form is the real anchor here: West has cleared this line in five of his last seven home games, and his L5 home averages show 3.0 inside 50s and a 60% goal accuracy, which is a sharp conversion rate when he does get his shots. He's averaging 0.8 shots at goal at home, and with 5.2 score involvements per game in that same split, he's clearly finding the ball in dangerous positions. The historical matchup against Carlton is also encouraging, with a 2.3-goal average across his last five meetings. Solid edge, worth backing.