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AFL

Jason Johannisen

Western Bulldogs

Value call

Jason Johannisen (Western Bulldogs) has one live pick today: over 14.5 disposals that pays $134 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
77 in 100
Predicted
18.2 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 77.0% · the book's price implies 74.6% · gap +2.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 10 Aug, 3:15 PM AEST
Jason Johannisen
over 14.5 disposals
Disposals Over 14.5 -294 (1.34) · $100→$134
Value call
HIGHWins about 77 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$13.40 Odds-294
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jason Johannisen is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 77 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 77%, the price says 75%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 7:21PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 19°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals77.0%—74.6%1.30+2.4%

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AI Analysis

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Jason Johannisen (Western Bulldogs) Over 14.5 Disposals (-294)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jason Johannisen is poised to excel in the upcoming away game against Melbourne. With a model-predicted 18.2 disposals and recent averages of 15.8 disposals in away games and 16 against Melbourne, Johannisen's form is consistent. His 75.8% disposal efficiency, coupled with a current hit streak of 3 in away games, enhances the likelihood of him surpassing the 14.5 disposals line. His ability to cover ground with an average of 320.4 meters gained and solid performance in contested possessions and interceptions solidify the rationale behind betting on Johannisen to exceed 14.5 disposals.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jason Johannisen averaged 21.7 disposals, 0.0 goals and 6.7 marks per game across 9 games in 2024.

21.7
Disposals
0.0
Goals
6.7
Marks
1.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (11 May 24 vs Richmond), Jason Johannisen recorded 16 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
11 May 24Richmond16052
5 May 24Hawthorn19060
27 Apr 24Fremantle19061
18 Apr 24St Kilda310122
12 Apr 24Essendon22061
6 Apr 24Geelong Cats15010
31 Mar 24West Coast Eagles220103
24 Mar 24Gold Coast SUNS25061
17 Mar 24Melbourne26081
4 Aug 23Richmond19052
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jason Johannisen (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jason Johannisen is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.4% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 10 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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