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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Cody Weightman is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 59 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 59%, implied 78%, edge +0.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 8:08AM UTC
AFL

Cody Weightman

Western Bulldogs

+0.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -357 (1.28) · $100→$128
+0.8% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
79 in 100
Predicted
13.1 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 78.9% · the book's price implies 78.1% · gap +0.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals78.9%59.0%78.1%1.69+0.8%

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AI Analysis

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Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood Magpies: Cody Weightman Over 9.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Cody Weightman often gets involved in the action, and this game should be no different. The Western Bulldogs have a tough time winning contested balls, which means Weightman could have plenty of opportunities to rack up disposals against Collingwood. He has shown he can contribute a mix of goals and assists, but hitting over 9.5 disposals seems like a solid bet given the chances he'll get. One risk is that Weightman's performance can vary quite a bit, with some games showing low numbers. Still, with the way these teams play and the chances he'll get, I feel confident he can surpass that mark. This bet looks good for anyone hoping to cheer on Weightman as he helps his team.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Cody Weightman averaged 10.7 disposals, 1.6 goals and 2.5 marks per game across 17 games in 2024.

10.7
Disposals
1.6
Goals
2.5
Marks
3.5
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (6 Sep 24 vs Hawthorn), Cody Weightman recorded 7 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
6 Sep 24Hawthorn7006
25 Aug 24GWS GIANTS19116
18 Aug 24North Melbourne13233
11 Aug 24Adelaide Crows9003
2 Aug 24Melbourne12221
28 Jul 24Sydney Swans9004
20 Jul 24Geelong Cats14155
13 Jul 24Carlton12123
29 Jun 24North Melbourne12344
15 Jun 24Fremantle11331
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 9.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 10.5 Over -204 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Goals 0.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ Western Bulldogs Goals Pending
31 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Fremantle Dockers Goals Pending
19 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Gold Coast Suns Goals Pending

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About This Player

Cody Weightman (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cody Weightman is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.8% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs on Friday 28 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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