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Oskar Baker

Western Bulldogs

+7.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -333 (1.30)
+7.4% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sun 5 Apr, 9:20AM
Model Probability
84.3%
Implied Probability
76.9%
Model Edge
+7.4%
Predicted Value
14.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Oskar Baker (Western Bulldogs) Over 9.5 Disposals (-333)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking ahead to the clash between the Western Bulldogs and Essendon Bombers at Marvel Stadium, all eyes are on Oskar Baker to shine. The dynamic midfielder has been on a tear lately, averaging a solid 13.2 disposals in his last five home games. With a recent hit streak of 4 games and a stellar 83.8% disposal efficiency, Baker is in prime form to surpass the set line of 9.5 disposals against the Bombers. In his last five meetings with Essendon, he has averaged an impressive 16 disposals, showcasing his ability to step up against this opponent. Backed by his consistent performance and current hot streak, Baker presents a strong case for hitting over 9.5 disposals in this upcoming home fixture.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 28.6% (2/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 9.5 Over -333 ✗ MISS
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 10.5 Over -208 ✗ MISS
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 11.5 Over -141 ✓ HIT
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Oskar Baker (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 28.6% (2/7). The latest model pick for Oskar Baker is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.4% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Western Bulldogs on Sunday 5 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.