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The latest Bet Better model pick for Oskar Baker is Over 9.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 84%, versus the book's implied 77%, for a model edge of +7.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 8:48AM UTC
AFL

Oskar Baker

Western Bulldogs

+7.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -333 (1.30) · $100→$130
+7.4% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 5 Apr, 9:20AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Model Probability
84.3%
Implied Probability
76.9%
Model Edge
+7.4%
Predicted Value
14.5 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals84.3%76.9%1.19+7.4%

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AI Analysis

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Oskar Baker (Western Bulldogs) Over 9.5 Disposals (-333)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking ahead to the clash between the Western Bulldogs and Essendon Bombers at Marvel Stadium, all eyes are on Oskar Baker to shine. The dynamic midfielder has been on a tear lately, averaging a solid 13.2 disposals in his last five home games. With a recent hit streak of 4 games and a stellar 83.8% disposal efficiency, Baker is in prime form to surpass the set line of 9.5 disposals against the Bombers. In his last five meetings with Essendon, he has averaged an impressive 16 disposals, showcasing his ability to step up against this opponent. Backed by his consistent performance and current hot streak, Baker presents a strong case for hitting over 9.5 disposals in this upcoming home fixture.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
13.4avg disposals recent
Season best22
Disposals last 10avg 13.4 · hi 19 · lo 7
12813161919161687

Oskar Baker has a disposals high of 22 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Oskar Baker (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Oskar Baker is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.4% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Western Bulldogs on Sunday 5 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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