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AFL

Ed Richards

Western Bulldogs

+0.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 21.5 -357 (1.28)
+0.4% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sat 11 Apr, 9:35AM
Model Probability
78.5%
Implied Probability
78.1%
Model Edge
+0.4%
Predicted Value
25.4 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Ed Richards (Western Bulldogs) Over 21.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Ed Richards is primed to shine in the upcoming clash against Hawthorn at Adelaide Oval. Over his last five away games, Richards has been a ball magnet, averaging a whopping 28.2 disposals per game, exceeding the 21.5 line comfortably. His recent form is red hot, boasting a stellar disposalefficiency of 67.7% and a remarkable 581.4 metres gained on average per game. Against Hawthorn specifically, he's been even more prolific, averaging 23 disposals in their previous encounters. With a current hit streak of 6 in away games and an overall hit rate of 16/20, Richards is a safe bet to maintain his disposal dominance. Backing him to surpass 21.5 disposals is a smart move given his outstanding recent performances and historical success against Hawthorn.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (11 picks) 63.6% (7/11)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 21.5 Over -357 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 19.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 20.5 Over -455 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
07 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ed Richards (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 11 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 63.6% (7/11). The latest model pick for Ed Richards is Over 21.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.4% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn Hawks on Saturday 11 April at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.