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AFL

Ed Richards

Western Bulldogs

Value call

Ed Richards (Western Bulldogs) has one live pick today: over 2.5 marks that pays $165 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
3.9 marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 61.2% · before adjusting for past results 73.1% · the book's price implies 60.6% · gap +0.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 5 Sep, 7:35 PM AEST
Ed Richards
over 2.5 marks
Marks Over 2.5 -154 (1.65) · $100→$165
Value call
HIGHWins about 61 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.50 Odds-154
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ed Richards is Over 2.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 61%, the price says 61%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 7:01PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks73.1%61.2%60.6%1.63+12.5%

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AI Analysis

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Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs: Ed Richards Over 2.5 Marks (-154)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Adelaide Crows face a tough challenge against the Western Bulldogs, especially with Ed Richards on the field. He's been showing great form lately, making more than his fair share of marks. Our numbers suggest he has a solid chance to get over 2.5 marks in this game, which means he could grab a few catches that really matter. One thing to keep in mind is that both teams play a strong defensive game, so it might not be easy for him. But with the way Richards has been performing, it's worth a shot. So, taking the bet on him to get over 2.5 marks feels like a solid option today.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Ed Richards averaged 21.4 disposals, 0.5 goals and 4.6 marks per game across 21 games in 2024.

21.4
Disposals
0.5
Goals
4.6
Marks
3.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (6 Sep 24 vs Hawthorn), Ed Richards recorded 23 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
6 Sep 24Hawthorn23040
25 Aug 24GWS GIANTS29234
18 Aug 24North Melbourne22253
11 Aug 24Adelaide Crows11125
2 Aug 24Melbourne20152
28 Jul 24Sydney Swans25155
20 Jul 24Geelong Cats29256
13 Jul 24Carlton17038
6 Jul 24Port Adelaide17064
29 Jun 24North Melbourne21046
Quick answers:How many disposals does Ed Richards average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Marks 2.5 Over -154 ✗ MISS
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 23.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 22.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Marks — — — Pending
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Marks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ed Richards (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ed Richards is Over 2.5 on Marks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.5% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 5 September at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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