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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ed Richards is Over 21.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 75%, for a model edge of +0.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 8:36AM UTC
AFL

Ed Richards

Western Bulldogs

+0.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 21.5 -294 (1.34) · $100→$134
+0.6% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Fri 3 Jul, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Model Probability
75.2%
Implied Probability
74.6%
Model Edge
+0.6%
Predicted Value
24.9 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals75.2%—74.6%1.33+0.6%

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AI Analysis

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Ed Richards (Western Bulldogs) Over 21.5 Disposals (-294)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking ahead to the clash between the Sydney Swans and the Western Bulldogs, Ed Richards emerges as a prime target for the 'Disposals Over' market. Richards has been a midfield dynamo, averaging a stellar 25.4 disposals in his last five away games, showcasing his ability to find the ball with ease. His recent form is rock solid, boasting a 5-game hit streak and a remarkable 11 out of 12 hit rate in away fixtures. With an impressive average of 26.6 disposals overall, Richards consistently impacts the game with his ball-winning prowess. Facing the Swans, against whom he averages 22.5 disposals in their last five meetings, Richards is poised to shine once again. The data paints a compelling picture for Richards to surpass the 21.5 disposal line set by sportsbet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
21.4avg disposals recent
Season best34
Disposals last 10avg 21.4 · hi 29 · lo 11
21171729252011222923

Ed Richards has a disposals high of 34 in AFL.

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
0.9avg goals recent
Season best2
Goals last 10avg 0.9 · hi 2 · lo 0
0002111220

Ed Richards has a goals high of 2 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans Disposals 21.5 Over -294 ✗ MISS
03 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans Disposals 20.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
03 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans Disposals 19.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
11 Jun 26 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals — — — Pending
07 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ed Richards (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ed Richards is Over 21.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.6% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Sydney Swans on Friday 3 July at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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