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The latest Bet Better model pick for Adam Treloar is Over 13.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 92%, versus the book's implied 75%, for a model edge of +17.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 9:39AM UTC
AFL

Adam Treloar

Western Bulldogs

+17.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 13.5 -294 (1.34) · $100→$134
+17.7% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 11 Jun, 9:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Model Probability
92.3%
Implied Probability
74.6%
Model Edge
+17.7%
Predicted Value
20.6 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals92.3%74.6%1.08+17.7%

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AI Analysis

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Adam Treloar (Western Bulldogs) Over 13.5 Disposals (-294)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to AFL player props, Adam Treloar is the man to watch in the upcoming clash between the Western Bulldogs and the Adelaide Crows at Marvel Stadium. Treloar, known for his tenacity and midfield prowess, has been a consistent performer in his last five home games, averaging an impressive 18.2 disposals. Facing the Crows, whom he has historically tallied 22 disposals against, Treloar's model prediction sits at 20.6, indicating a solid edge in hitting over 13.5 disposals. With a current 3-game hit streak at home and a stellar 77.8% disposal efficiency, Treloar is primed to be a key player in this matchup. Expect him to rack up the possessions and help drive the Bulldogs to victory.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
30.1avg disposals recent
Season best41
Disposals last 10avg 30.1 · hi 40 · lo 22
27223831403028332428

Adam Treloar has a disposals high of 41 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Jun 26 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 13.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
11 Jun 26 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 12.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
11 Jun 26 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 11.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
07 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Adam Treloar (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Adam Treloar is Over 13.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.7% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs on Thursday 11 June at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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