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AFL

Joel Freijah

Western Bulldogs

+1.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 17.5 -116 (1.86)
+1.1% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane
Sat 7 Mar, 8:35AM
Model Probability
54.8%
Implied Probability
53.8%
Model Edge
+1.1%
Predicted Value
16.9 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Joel Freijah (Western Bulldogs) Under 17.5 Disposals (-116)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to the upcoming clash between the Western Bulldogs and the Brisbane Lions at the Gabba, one player to keep a keen eye on is Joel Freijah. Looking at his recent on-the-road performances, Freijah has been solid but not stellar, averaging around 17.2 disposals across his last five away games. Although he's shown flashes of brilliance, hitting a respectable 74.3% disposal efficiency, his average contested possessions of 7 and uncontested possessions of 11.6 might not be enough to hit the 17.5 mark set for this game. Facing the Lions, who have limited him to an average of 14 disposals in their previous encounters, further boosts the case for Freijah to potentially fall short of the line. With his recent form suggesting he might struggle to hit the mark, betting on Freijah to stay under 17.5 disposals could be a shrewd move in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 66.7% (2/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 17.5 Under -116 ✗ MISS
27 Jun 25 Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans Disposals 14.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
27 Jun 25 Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans Disposals 14.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT

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