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The latest Bet Better model pick for Joel Freijah is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 74%, the price says 68%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 9:25AM UTC
AFL

Joel Freijah

Western Bulldogs

Value call

Joel Freijah (Western Bulldogs) has one live pick today: Disposals Over 15.5 that pays $146 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -217 (1.46) · $100→$146
Value call
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 6 Aug, 9:30AM
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
18.7 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 74.0% · the book's price implies 68.5% · gap +5.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.0%—68.5%1.35+5.5%

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AI Analysis

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Joel Freijah (Western Bulldogs) Over 15.5 Disposals (-217)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Joel Freijah, the midfield maestro for the Western Bulldogs, is primed to shine in front of the home crowd at Marvel Stadium against North Melbourne. Over his last five home games, Freijah has been a dominant force, averaging a stellar 17.8 disposals. His recent form against North Melbourne has been equally impressive, racking up an average of 28.5 disposals in their last five encounters. With a knack for finding space, Freijah's agility and accurate disposal (65.7% efficiency) make him a key playmaker for the Bulldogs. His consistency is evident with a current hit streak of 2, showcasing his reliability in meeting and exceeding the 15.5 disposal line. Back Freijah to continue his midfield masterclass and surpass the 15.5 disposal mark with flair.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)

Season averages (2024)

Joel Freijah averaged 15.8 disposals, 0.1 goals and 5.4 marks per game across 13 games in 2024.

15.8
Disposals
0.1
Goals
5.4
Marks
1.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (6 Sep 24 vs Hawthorn), Joel Freijah recorded 19 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
6 Sep 24Hawthorn19070
25 Aug 24GWS GIANTS16024
18 Aug 24North Melbourne290131
20 Jul 24Geelong Cats18071
13 Jul 24Carlton12031
6 Jul 24Port Adelaide7122
29 Jun 24North Melbourne19062
15 Jun 24Fremantle15061
7 Jun 24Brisbane Lions12030
31 May 24Collingwood16070
Quick answers:How many disposals does Joel Freijah average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 15.5 Over -217 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 14.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 13.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals — — — Pending
31 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
31 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Joel Freijah (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Joel Freijah is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.5% on this pick. Their next game is North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs on Thursday 6 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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