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AFL

Sam Darcy

Western Bulldogs

+13.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 1.5 -213 (1.47)
+13.4% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Fri 17 Apr, 9:20AM
Model Probability
81.4%
Implied Probability
68.0%
Model Edge
+13.4%
Predicted Value
2.2 Goals

AI Analysis

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Sam Darcy (Western Bulldogs) Over 1.5 Goals (-213)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag goals, Sam Darcy of the Western Bulldogs is a prime target for the upcoming clash against Geelong Cats. Darcy has been on a scoring tear lately, averaging a solid 2.6 goals per game in his last five away matches. His accuracy in front of the big sticks sits at an impressive 59.7%, showcasing his ability to convert opportunities into majors consistently. Moreover, Darcy's involvement in the Bulldogs' attacking plays is undeniable, with an average of 7.6 score involvements per game. Facing off against Geelong, a team where he has historically found success with an average of 1 goal per game in their recent encounters, sets the stage for Darcy to continue his scoring spree. With his current form and track record against the Cats, backing Sam Darcy to go Over 1.5 goals seems like a smart play for this Friday night footy showdown.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 100.0% (5/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals 1.5 Over -270 ✓ HIT
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Goals 1.5 Over -385 ✓ HIT
24 Aug 25 Fremantle Dockers @ Western Bulldogs Goals 1.5 Over -385 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 25 Western Bulldogs @ Brisbane Lions Goals — — — Pending
12 Jun 25 Western Bulldogs @ St Kilda Saints Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Sam Darcy (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (5/5). The latest model pick for Sam Darcy is Over 1.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.4% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Geelong Cats on Friday 17 April at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.