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AFL

Sam Darcy

Western Bulldogs

Value call

Sam Darcy (Western Bulldogs) has one live pick today: over 1.5 goals that pays $147 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
81 in 100
Predicted
2.2 goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 81.4% · the book's price implies 68.0% · gap +13.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Western Bulldogs @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 17 Apr, 7:20 PM AEST
Sam Darcy
over 1.5 goals
Goals Over 1.5 -213 (1.47) · $100→$147
Value call
HIGHWins about 81 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.70 Odds-213
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sam Darcy is Over 1.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 81 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 81%, the price says 68%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 7:19PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: sunny, 21°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals81.4%—68.0%1.23+13.4%

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AI Analysis

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Sam Darcy (Western Bulldogs) Over 1.5 Goals (-213)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag goals, Sam Darcy of the Western Bulldogs is a prime target for the upcoming clash against Geelong Cats. Darcy has been on a scoring tear lately, averaging a solid 2.6 goals per game in his last five away matches. His accuracy in front of the big sticks sits at an impressive 59.7%, showcasing his ability to convert opportunities into majors consistently. Moreover, Darcy's involvement in the Bulldogs' attacking plays is undeniable, with an average of 7.6 score involvements per game. Facing off against Geelong, a team where he has historically found success with an average of 1 goal per game in their recent encounters, sets the stage for Darcy to continue his scoring spree. With his current form and track record against the Cats, backing Sam Darcy to go Over 1.5 goals seems like a smart play for this Friday night footy showdown.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Sam Darcy averaged 12.5 disposals, 1.8 goals and 4.9 marks per game across 21 games in 2024.

12.5
Disposals
1.8
Goals
4.9
Marks
2.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (6 Sep 24 vs Hawthorn), Sam Darcy recorded 13 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
6 Sep 24Hawthorn13141
25 Aug 24GWS GIANTS12213
18 Aug 24North Melbourne20792
11 Aug 24Adelaide Crows19150
2 Aug 24Melbourne11173
28 Jul 24Sydney Swans10151
20 Jul 24Geelong Cats101211
13 Jul 24Carlton16154
6 Jul 24Port Adelaide9022
29 Jun 24North Melbourne15132
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals 1.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Geelong Cats Goals — — — Pending
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Sam Darcy (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sam Darcy is Over 1.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.4% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Geelong Cats on Friday 17 April at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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