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The latest Bet Better model pick for James Harmes is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 70%, versus the book's implied 70%, for a model edge of +0.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 8:46AM UTC
AFL

James Harmes

Western Bulldogs

+0.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -233 (1.43) · $100→$143
+0.5% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 12 Jun, 9:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 15°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Model Probability
70.5%
Implied Probability
69.9%
Model Edge
+0.5%
Predicted Value
17.2 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.5%69.9%1.42+0.5%

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AI Analysis

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James Harmes (Western Bulldogs) Over 14.5 Disposals (-233)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

James Harmes is poised to perform well against St Kilda based on his recent stats. With a model prediction of 17.2 disposals and a consistent average of 19.4 disposals in his last five away games, he surpasses the set line of 14.5. His 70.0% disposal efficiency and ability to gain 335.6 meters on average per game further support his potential to exceed expectations. Additionally, his hit rates and streaks indicate current form with a 4/5 hit rate in away games and a three-game hit streak overall. Considering his strong recent performances, Harmes is likely to continue his solid disposals output, making the Over 14.5 bet a favorable choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
15.8avg disposals recent
Season best27
Disposals last 10avg 15.8 · hi 27 · lo 1
201116142127182218

James Harmes has a disposals high of 27 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

James Harmes (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for James Harmes is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.5% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs St Kilda Saints on Thursday 12 June at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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