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Model picks & player props
Collingwood Magpies
VS
Western Bulldogs

Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 26, 3:52AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

AFL
MCG, Melbourne
Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug 2026, 9:40AM
3
Game markets graded
45
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 41.5 Team Total Points H1 -115

The model graded 48 markets for Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs (AFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $187 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 28 Aug 2026, 9:40AM at MCG.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win59.0%
The price says53.5%
Best price-115
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Team Total Points H1 Under 41.5 Lean59% chance -115
Team Total Points Q1 Lean55% chance
Spread Lean54% chance
Kicks × 4 props Highup to 85%
Marks × 19 props Highup to 85%
Disposals × 14 props Highup to 77%
Handballs × 2 props Highup to 77%
Goals × 4 props Highup to 75%
Fantasy × 1 prop Highup to 77%
Clearances × 1 prop Highup to 81%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Team Total Points H1
Under
41.5
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam Total Points H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total Points Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Collingwood MagpiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Western Bulldogs on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Western Bulldogs
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Betfair Ex Au
on Western Bulldogs
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Magpies

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Bulldogs

Player availability is not tracked for AFL on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs: Wet or windy conditions tend to lower AFL scoring, though live conditions for this exact fixture aren't wired in here yet, and player availability isn't tracked for AFL on this page.
FactorThis fixture
Match conditionsWet weather slows AFL scoring and lifts the value of contested-ball sides, but live per-fixture conditions aren't joined to this page yet.

General rule: wet weather lowers AFL scoring and rewards contested-ball and defensive sides, while a late out among key forwards or midfielders reshapes a team's scoring spread.

Live per-fixture AFL conditions aren't joined to this page yet — the note above is a general conditions rule, not this exact game's forecast.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jeremy Howe Collingwood Kicks
Bailey Dale Western Bulldogs Marks
Nick Daicos Collingwood Marks
Lachlan Bramble Western Bulldogs Marks
Jeremy Howe Collingwood Disposals

+ 45 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

1 market live
LineCollingwood Magpies -1.5-1.5 -112
54%cover %
+4.0Western Bulldogs margin (L5)
Model pickCollingwood Magpies -1.5Western Bulldogs PF/G80.2Collingwood Magpies PF/G95.0

Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs on Aug 28 - Line: the model's pick is Collingwood Magpies -1.5 at -112, a 54% cover % (LEAN). Over their last five games Western Bulldogs average 80.2 points and Collingwood Magpies 95.0.

Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs — what the model found

Our model graded 48 betting markets for Collingwood Magpies at Western Bulldogs — 3 on the game itself and 45 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

3
Game markets graded
45
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 48 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 47 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs — recent results

Western Bulldogs have won 2 of their last 5 games; Collingwood Magpies have won 0 of their last 0.

Western Bulldogs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W108–87MELBAway
D82–82CARLHome
L77–100NMFCHome
L41–78FREAway
W105–48RICHHome

Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs — where the money went

Since betting opened on Collingwood Magpies at Western Bulldogs, the market has moved away from Western Bulldogs across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Western Bulldogs▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Collingwood Magpies▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs — model preview

Western Bulldogs v Collingwood Magpies, 26 August 2026. Top of the list: Cooper Hynes (Western Bulldogs) Over 1.5 player_marks_over.

On Wednesday 26 August 2026, Western Bulldogs play Collingwood Magpies in the AFL. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Cooper Hynes (Western Bulldogs) Over 1.5 player_marks_over, priced at -312 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Cooper Hynes (Western Bulldogs) Over 1.5 player_marks_over (-312)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Cooper Hynes is poised to dominate the marking game when the Western Bulldogs clash with Collingwood Magpies at the hallowed MCG. Over his last five home games, Hynes has been a marking machine, averaging 2.4 marks per game. When facing Collingwood at home, he's upped his game even further, averaging 2 marks against them. With an average of 2 overall marks in their matchups, Hynes consistently finds opportunities to shine. Additionally, his ability to take contested marks (averaging 0.2 over the last five games) showcases his prowess under pressure. Factor in his knack for marking inside 50 (0.6 average), and it's clear that Hynes is primed to soar above the 1.5 mark line set by the bookies. Expect Hynes to elevate the marking contest and secure your ticket to victory.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs in the AFL. You may also see this matchup written as Magpies vs Bulldogs, or as Bulldogs vs Magpies. The next scheduled game is Friday 28 August 2026 at MCG. The model has generated 3 game picks and 45 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your AFL betting strategy for this matchup.

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