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AFL

Sam Davidson

Western Bulldogs

+4.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -208 (1.48)
+4.9% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Fri 17 Apr, 9:20AM
Model Probability
72.5%
Implied Probability
67.6%
Model Edge
+4.9%
Predicted Value
13.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Sam Davidson (Western Bulldogs) Over 10.5 Disposals (-208)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Sam Davidson is poised to light up the field in the upcoming clash between the Western Bulldogs and Geelong Cats. With a recent average of 9.2 disposals per away game, Sam is showing he's hungry for the footy. Against the Cats, he's even more lethal, averaging 14 disposals in their last encounters. His precision is on point, boasting a solid 63.0% disposal efficiency. With his knack for gaining meters (198 avg) and creating turnovers (2 avg), Sam is a force to be reckoned with. Add in his recent hit streak and overall consistency (16 out of 20), and it's clear that Sam Davidson is primed to surpass the 10.5 disposal mark set by sportsbet. Betting on Sam to go over is not just a gut feeling; it's a calculated move backed by the numbers.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 50.0% (2/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 10.5 Over -213 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 9.5 Over -303 ✗ MISS
12 Jul 25 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 14.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
03 Jul 25 Western Bulldogs @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Sam Davidson (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (2/4). The latest model pick for Sam Davidson is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.9% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Geelong Cats on Friday 17 April at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.