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AFL

Sam Davidson

Western Bulldogs

+3.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -200 (1.50)
+3.4% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sat 12 Jul, 3:20AM
Model Probability
70.1%
Implied Probability
66.7%
Model Edge
+3.4%
Predicted Value
17.2 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Sam Davidson (Western Bulldogs) Over 14.5 Disposals (-200)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Sam Davidson is poised to shine in this matchup based on his recent form. With a model predicting him to achieve 17.2 disposals, significantly higher than the set line of 14.5, and a solid average of 17.2 disposals over his last five home games, he has been a consistent performer. His effectiveness is evident with a 71.2% disposal efficiency and solid metrics across kicks, handballs, and metres gained. Additionally, facing Adelaide Crows at home further enhances his potential to surpass the line. Considering his current form and the statistical advantages he holds, betting on Sam Davidson to exceed 14.5 disposals seems like a promising wager for this AFL game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (30 picks) 66.7% (20/30)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Jul 25 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 14.5 Over -200 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 25 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 14.5 Over -200 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 25 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 14.5 Over -200 ✗ MISS
12 Jul 25 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
12 Jul 25 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
12 Jul 25 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending

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