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AFL

Sam Davidson

Western Bulldogs

Value call

Sam Davidson (Western Bulldogs) has one live pick today: over 10.5 disposals that pays $148 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
13.5 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 72.5% · the book's price implies 67.6% · gap +4.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Western Bulldogs @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 17 Apr, 7:20 PM AEST
Sam Davidson
over 10.5 disposals
Disposals Over 10.5 -208 (1.48) · $100→$148
Value call
HIGHWins about 72 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.80 Odds-208
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sam Davidson is Over 10.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 72%, the price says 68%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 7:19PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.5%—67.6%1.38+4.9%

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AI Analysis

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Sam Davidson (Western Bulldogs) Over 10.5 Disposals (-208)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Sam Davidson is poised to light up the field in the upcoming clash between the Western Bulldogs and Geelong Cats. With a recent average of 9.2 disposals per away game, Sam is showing he's hungry for the footy. Against the Cats, he's even more lethal, averaging 14 disposals in their last encounters. His precision is on point, boasting a solid 63.0% disposal efficiency. With his knack for gaining meters (198 avg) and creating turnovers (2 avg), Sam is a force to be reckoned with. Add in his recent hit streak and overall consistency (16 out of 20), and it's clear that Sam Davidson is primed to surpass the 10.5 disposal mark set by sportsbet. Betting on Sam to go over is not just a gut feeling; it's a calculated move backed by the numbers.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Sam Davidson - AFL Disposals market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Geelong Cats Disposals 10.5 Over -208 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Geelong Cats Disposals 9.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Sam Davidson (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sam Davidson is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.9% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Geelong Cats on Friday 17 April at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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