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Rory Lobb

Western Bulldogs

Value call

Rory Lobb (Western Bulldogs) has one live pick today: over 10.5 disposals that pays $192 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
58 in 100
Predicted
12.5 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 58.1% · before adjusting for past results 70.4% · the book's price implies 52.1% · gap +6.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 5 Sep, 7:35 PM AEST
Rory Lobb
over 10.5 disposals
Disposals Over 10.5 -109 (1.92) · $100→$192
Value call
LEANWins about 58 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.20 Odds-109
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Rory Lobb is Over 10.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 58 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 58%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 13, 1:06AM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.4%58.1%52.1%2.06+18.3%

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AI Analysis

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Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs: Rory Lobb Over 10.5 Disposals (-109)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds for Rory Lobb to get over 10.5 disposals look promising. The Adelaide Crows have been strong at home, winning 7 of their last 10 games and scoring an average of nearly 99 points while conceding only about 78. Lobb should find plenty of opportunities, especially since the Crows have a habit of winning contested balls, which could lead to more touches for him. However, the Western Bulldogs have also been competitive, winning 6 of their last 10 matches. They tend to lose contested balls, which might help Lobb get those extra disposals he needs. If Lobb can get involved early and the Crows control the game, this bet has a solid chance to pay off.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Season averages (2024)

Rory Lobb averaged 13.6 disposals, 0.3 goals and 5.4 marks per game across 16 games in 2024.

13.6
Disposals
0.3
Goals
5.4
Marks
2.1
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (6 Sep 24 vs Hawthorn), Rory Lobb recorded 13 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
6 Sep 24Hawthorn13072
25 Aug 24GWS GIANTS10032
18 Aug 24North Melbourne13055
11 Aug 24Adelaide Crows16081
2 Aug 24Melbourne20040
28 Jul 24Sydney Swans190101
20 Jul 24Geelong Cats21093
13 Jul 24Carlton10071
6 Jul 24Port Adelaide14063
29 Jun 24North Melbourne16082
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 10.5 Over -109 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 9.5 Over -161 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Marks 2.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals — — — Pending
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals — — — Pending
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Marks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Rory Lobb (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Rory Lobb is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.3% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 5 September at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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