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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Lachlan Bramble is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 52%, implied 65%, edge +7.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 29, 11:22AM UTC
AFL

Lachlan Bramble

Western Bulldogs

+7.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -185 (1.54) · $100→$154
+7.5% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 19°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
18.7 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.4% · the book's price implies 64.9% · gap +7.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.4%52.5%64.9%1.91+7.5%

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AI Analysis

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Western Bulldogs vs Collingwood Magpies: Lachlan Bramble Over 15.5 Disposals (-185)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds of Lachlan Bramble getting over 15.5 disposals look pretty solid. He has had some games where he's picked up a fair amount, with an average of around 4.5 contested possessions lately. That shows he's getting involved, even if he has had some ups and downs in his stats. Collingwood has been known to concede more points than they score, which could give Bramble more chances to rack up those disposals. The main worry is that the game could be really close, which might mean less time with the ball for him if the teams are battling hard. Still, it feels like he has a good shot to hit that number.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Season averages (2024)

Lachlan Bramble averaged 18.5 disposals, 0.1 goals and 4.8 marks per game across 24 games in 2024.

18.5
Disposals
0.1
Goals
4.8
Marks
1.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (6 Sep 24 vs Hawthorn), Lachlan Bramble recorded 19 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
6 Sep 24Hawthorn19051
25 Aug 24GWS GIANTS15000
18 Aug 24North Melbourne17042
11 Aug 24Adelaide Crows20062
2 Aug 24Melbourne23031
28 Jul 24Sydney Swans23030
20 Jul 24Geelong Cats17033
13 Jul 24Carlton15031
6 Jul 24Port Adelaide22051
29 Jun 24North Melbourne14051
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 15.5 Over -185 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 14.5 Over -286 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 13.5 Over -455 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Lachlan Bramble (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lachlan Bramble is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.5% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs on Friday 28 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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