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The latest Bet Better model pick for Connor Budarick is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 64%, edge +9.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 26, 3:10PM UTC
AFL

Connor Budarick

Western Bulldogs

+9.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -179 (1.56) · $100→$156
+9.3% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 12°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
18.8 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.4% · the book's price implies 64.1% · gap +9.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.4%—64.1%1.36+9.3%

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AI Analysis

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Connor Budarick (Western Bulldogs) Over 15.5 Disposals (-179)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

If you're looking to back a sure thing in the upcoming clash between the Western Bulldogs and Collingwood Magpies, Connor Budarick is your man. The dynamic midfielder has been tearing up the field in his last five home games, averaging a solid 21.2 disposals with an impressive disposal efficiency of 76.4%. Facing Collingwood, he's been even more dominant, racking up an average of 15.3 disposals in their recent matchups. With a current hit streak of 5 at home and a stellar hit rate of 5/5, Budarick is in red-hot form. His consistency in contested possessions, handballs, kicks, and metres gained showcases his ability to impact the game across all facets. The model predicting him to achieve 18.8 disposals only solidifies the case for taking the Over 15.5 on Budarick's disposals. Bet with confidence on him snagging that bet, as he's set to split the middle and deliver for your ticket.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Connor Budarick averaged 15.0 disposals, 0.0 goals and 4.5 marks per game across 8 games in 2024.

15.0
Disposals
0.0
Goals
4.5
Marks
2.3
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Connor Budarick has cleared 11.5 disposals in 70% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o11.570%
o12.570%
o14.570%
o15.560%
o17.550%
o18.550%
o20.520%
o21.520%
o23.50%
o24.50%
o26.50%
o27.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Connor Budarick is averaging 12.4 disposals per game over his last 5.

12.4
Disp · Overall
0.0
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Richmond), Connor Budarick recorded 14 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Richmond14073
17 Aug 24Melbourne16063
10 Aug 24Essendon18061
20 Jul 24GWS GIANTS16005
14 Jul 24Port Adelaide10032
24 Mar 24Western Bulldogs18060
16 Mar 24Adelaide Crows7003
9 Mar 24Richmond21081
26 Aug 23North Melbourne19063
19 Aug 23Carlton16042
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Jun 26 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 16.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT
11 Jun 26 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 15.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
11 Jun 26 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 14.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Tackles — — — Pending
22 Aug 26 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Tackles — — — Pending
22 Aug 26 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Tackles — — — Pending

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About This Player

Connor Budarick (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Connor Budarick is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.3% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs on Friday 28 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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