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The latest Bet Better model pick for Connor Budarick is Over 16.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 76%, versus the book's implied 71%, for a model edge of +5.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 9:38AM UTC
AFL

Connor Budarick

Western Bulldogs

+5.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -244 (1.41)
+5.3% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 11 Jun, 9:30AM
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Model Probability
76.2%
Implied Probability
70.9%
Model Edge
+5.3%
Predicted Value
20.0 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals76.2%—70.9%1.31+5.3%

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AI Analysis

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Connor Budarick (Western Bulldogs) Over 16.5 Disposals (-244)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let’s talk about Connor Budarick for the Western Bulldogs set to face off against the Adelaide Crows at Marvel Stadium. Budarick, a dynamo on the field, has been a standout at home lately, averaging a solid 19.2 disposals per game over his last five matches. With impressive stats like a 73.4% disposal efficiency and an average of 13.2 kicks per game, Budarick is a key player to watch. In his last five home games, he's been a consistent force, hitting above his current line of 16.5 disposals four times. Additionally, facing the Adelaide Crows at home, he's averaged 15 disposals in his last five encounters. Considering his recent form, Budarick looks set to continue his fine run and snag more than 16.5 disposals this game. So, if you're eyeing some action in the 'Player Disposals Over/Under' market, backing Budarick to go over 16.5 seems like a smart play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
15.5avg disposals recent
Season best25
Disposals last 10avg 15.5 · hi 21 · lo 7
1619217181016181614

Connor Budarick has a disposals high of 25 in AFL.

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
0avg goals recent
Season best0
Goals last 10avg 0 · hi 0 · lo 0
0000000000

Connor Budarick has a goals high of 0 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Jun 26 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 16.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT
11 Jun 26 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 15.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
11 Jun 26 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 14.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Connor Budarick (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Connor Budarick is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.3% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs on Thursday 11 June at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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