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The latest Bet Better model pick for Matthew Kennedy is Over 2.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 61%, the price says 71%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 19, 3:55PM UTC
AFL

Matthew Kennedy

Western Bulldogs

Value call

Matthew Kennedy (Western Bulldogs) has one live pick today: Marks Over 2.5 that pays $140 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 2.5 -250 (1.40) · $100→$140
Value call
Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
3.8 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 61.0% · before adjusting for past results 72.9% · the book's price implies 71.4% · gap -10.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks72.9%61.0%71.4%1.64+1.5%

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AI Analysis

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Matthew Kennedy (Western Bulldogs) Over 2.5 player_marks_over (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to marking prowess, Matthew Kennedy of the Western Bulldogs is a force to be reckoned with. In his last five home games, he's been averaging a solid 3.4 marks, showing his ability to dominate in the air. Against Collingwood specifically, he's maintained a consistent average of 3.5 marks, proving he thrives in this matchup. Kennedy's recent form suggests he's not only hitting the marks but also making a significant impact inside 50, averaging 0.8 marks inside the attacking zone per game. With such strong numbers both overall and against Collingwood, it's no surprise the model predicts him to exceed 2.5 marks in this upcoming game. So, when it's crunch time at the MCG, expect Matthew Kennedy to rise above the pack and snag those crucial marks, making the Over 2.5 marks bet a tantalizing prospect for this clash against the Magpies.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Matthew Kennedy averaged 17.7 disposals, 0.7 goals and 4.4 marks per game across 24 games in 2024.

17.7
Disposals
0.7
Goals
4.4
Marks
3.4
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (7 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Matthew Kennedy recorded 5 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
7 Sep 24Brisbane Lions5031
25 Aug 24St Kilda14052
18 Aug 24West Coast Eagles23254
11 Aug 24Hawthorn330104
3 Aug 24Collingwood17034
26 Jul 24Port Adelaide13253
21 Jul 24North Melbourne16052
13 Jul 24Western Bulldogs8021
6 Jul 24GWS GIANTS21256
30 Jun 24Richmond21185
Quick answers:How many disposals does Matthew Kennedy average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Marks 2.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -111 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 17.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Carlton Blues @ Western Bulldogs Goals — — — Pending
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals — — — Pending
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Matthew Kennedy (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matthew Kennedy is Over 2.5 on Marks. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.5% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs on Friday 28 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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