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The latest Bet Better model pick for Matthew Kennedy is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 97%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +11.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 8:47AM UTC
AFL

Matthew Kennedy

Western Bulldogs

+11.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -588 (1.17) · $100→$117
+11.5% Edge
North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Thu 6 Aug, 9:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Jul 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
96.9%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+11.5%
Predicted Value
23.8 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals96.9%—85.5%1.03+11.5%

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AI Analysis

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Matthew Kennedy (Western Bulldogs) Over 14.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's dive into why Matthew Kennedy is a prime target for the Over 14.5 disposals line when the Western Bulldogs clash with North Melbourne at Marvel Stadium. Kennedy has been a midfield maestro, averaging a solid 22.6 disposals over his last five home games, with a knack for racking up 13.2 kicks and 9.4 handballs per match. Against North Melbourne, he's been even more prolific, averaging 18.5 disposals in their last five encounters. With an impressive contested possession average of 9 and stellar disposal efficiency of 60.9%, Kennedy is in prime form to dominate the Kangaroos in front of the home crowd. Backed by his recent consistency and strong matchup history, Kennedy looks primed to surpass the 14.5 mark and make a significant impact in the midfield battle.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
17.1avg disposals recent
Season best33
Disposals last 10avg 17.1 · hi 33 · lo 5
212181613173323145

Matthew Kennedy has a disposals high of 33 in AFL.

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
0.7avg goals recent
Season best2
Goals last 10avg 0.7 · hi 2 · lo 0
1200200200

Matthew Kennedy has a goals high of 2 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 14.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 15.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 16.5 Over -357 ✗ MISS
06 Aug 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ Western Bulldogs Disposals — — — Pending
31 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending
31 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Matthew Kennedy (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matthew Kennedy is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.5% on this pick. Their next game is North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Western Bulldogs on Thursday 6 August at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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