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AFL

Bailey Williams

Western Bulldogs

+1.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -333 (1.30)
+1.7% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Essendon Bombers
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Fri 25 Jul, 9:20AM
Model Probability
78.6%
Implied Probability
76.9%
Model Edge
+1.7%
Predicted Value
18.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Bailey Williams (Western Bulldogs) Over 14.5 Disposals (-333)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Bailey Williams is a strong bet to surpass 14.5 disposals against Essendon. With a model prediction of 18.5, indicating a 1.7% edge, Williams has been consistent. In his last 5 away games, he has averaged 18.4 disposals, exceeding 14.5 each time. His recent 77.6% disposal efficiency, 10.4 kicks, and 8 handballs highlight his ball-winning ability. Facing Essendon, against whom he averages 13 disposals, Williams is poised to exploit their defense. His current hit streak of 4 away games and 7 overall, solidify his form. Expect Williams to maintain his performance trend and secure over 14.5 disposals, making this a high-confidence bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 72.0% (36/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Jul 25 Western Bulldogs @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 14.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 25 Western Bulldogs @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 14.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 25 Western Bulldogs @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 14.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 25 Western Bulldogs @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending
18 Jul 25 Western Bulldogs @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending
18 Jul 25 Western Bulldogs @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending

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