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AFL

Bailey Dale

Western Bulldogs

Value call

Bailey Dale (Western Bulldogs) has one live pick today: over 23.5 disposals that pays $169 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
28.3 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 61.0% · before adjusting for past results 79.0% · the book's price implies 59.2% · gap +1.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 5 Sep, 7:35 PM AEST
Bailey Dale
over 23.5 disposals
Disposals Over 23.5 -145 (1.69) · $100→$169
Value call
HIGHWins about 61 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.90 Odds-145
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bailey Dale is Over 23.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 61%, the price says 59%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 5:49PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals79.0%61.0%59.2%1.64+19.8%

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AI Analysis

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Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs: Bailey Dale Over 23.5 Disposals (-145)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Bailey Dale has been doing an impressive job lately, and our numbers really like him for this game. He's been getting a lot of disposals, and everything points to him going over 23.5 again against the Adelaide Crows. His recent performances show a strong trend, especially with his ability to find the ball and make plays. One risk is that the Crows are a tough team, and they can put pressure on players like Dale. Still, he has a solid chance to step up and meet this mark. With the odds looking good at -145, it feels like a smart pick to back him to get over those disposals. Let's see how it goes!

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Bailey Dale averaged 24.8 disposals, 0.2 goals and 6.1 marks per game across 24 games in 2024.

24.8
Disposals
0.2
Goals
6.1
Marks
1.5
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (6 Sep 24 vs Hawthorn), Bailey Dale recorded 20 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
6 Sep 24Hawthorn20041
25 Aug 24GWS GIANTS27132
18 Aug 24North Melbourne23083
11 Aug 24Adelaide Crows14020
2 Aug 24Melbourne34080
28 Jul 24Sydney Swans25081
20 Jul 24Geelong Cats23061
13 Jul 24Carlton31141
6 Jul 24Port Adelaide23040
29 Jun 24North Melbourne25042
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Kicks — — — Pending
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Fantasy — — — Pending
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Marks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Bailey Dale (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bailey Dale is Over 23.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.8% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 5 September at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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