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Bailey Dale

Western Bulldogs

+4.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 21.5 -400 (1.25)
+4.2% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sun 5 Apr, 9:20AM
Model Probability
84.2%
Implied Probability
80.0%
Model Edge
+4.2%
Predicted Value
26.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Bailey Dale (Western Bulldogs) Over 21.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Bailey Dale, the man of the moment for the Western Bulldogs, is set to light up the field at Marvel Stadium against the Essendon Bombers. In his last five home games, Dale has been a midfield maestro, snagging an average of 24.6 disposals per game. His precision is unmatched, boasting a stellar 81.3% disposal efficiency and an impressive 17.6 kicks per game. Against Essendon specifically, he's been even more dominant, averaging 24.2 disposals in their last five encounters. With a line set at 21.5, it seems like a no-brainer to back Dale to once again split the middle and surpass that mark. His form is red hot, and the stats are screaming for him to shine brightly on his home turf once more.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (12 picks) 75.0% (9/12)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 21.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 19.5 Over -833 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 20.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals — — — Pending
05 Apr 26 Essendon Bombers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals — — — Pending
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Bailey Dale (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 12 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (9/12). The latest model pick for Bailey Dale is Over 21.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.2% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Western Bulldogs on Sunday 5 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.