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AFL

Bailey Dale

Western Bulldogs

+8.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -500 (1.20)
+8.6% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Fri 17 Apr, 9:20AM
Model Probability
92.0%
Implied Probability
83.3%
Model Edge
+8.6%
Predicted Value
26.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Bailey Dale (Western Bulldogs) Over 19.5 Disposals (-500)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Bailey Dale of the Western Bulldogs is set to make waves in the upcoming clash against the Geelong Cats at GMHBA Stadium. In his last five away games, Dale has been a midfield maestro, averaging 21.8 disposals with a stellar disposal efficiency of 78.0%. His recent performances showcase his ability to impact the game with his 16.2 kicks and 5.6 handballs on average, making him a crucial link in the Bulldogs' chain. Against the Cats, Dale has maintained a strong average of 20.8 disposals. With his current form boasting a 4-game hit streak and a solid 12/14 hit rate in away games, the odds are in his favor to surpass the 19.5 disposal line. Expect Dale to navigate through traffic, find space, and rack up the possessions to secure the over in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 33.3% (2/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 22.5 Over -217 ✗ MISS
11 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 18.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
11 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 19.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
11 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
11 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
11 Apr 26 Western Bulldogs @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Bailey Dale (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 33.3% (2/6). The latest model pick for Bailey Dale is Over 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.6% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Geelong Cats on Friday 17 April at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.