Logo BET BETTER PRO TERMINAL
AFL

Riley Garcia

Western Bulldogs

+0.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -256 (1.39)
+0.2% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 10 Aug, 5:15AM
Model Probability
72.2%
Implied Probability
71.9%
Model Edge
+0.2%
Predicted Value
17.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Riley Garcia (Western Bulldogs) Over 14.5 Disposals (-256)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Riley Garcia presents a strong case for exceeding 14.5 disposals against Melbourne. His recent form, averaging 16.4 disposals in away games and 15.8 overall, coupled with a solid contested possessions average of 6.8 and high disposal efficiency of 76.9%, indicate his ability to maintain possession effectively. Facing Melbourne, where he averages 15.5 disposals against them, further supports this bet. With a current hit streak of 1 away and 2 overall, along with a hit rate of 5/6 in away games and 9/11 overall, Garcia's consistent performance and upward trend suggest he's well-positioned to surpass the 14.5 disposals mark in this matchup, making the Over a favorable bet.

Full AI analysis is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis

Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (32 picks) 68.8% (22/32)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Aug 25 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 14.5 Over -256 ✓ HIT
10 Aug 25 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 14.5 Over -256 ✗ MISS
12 Jul 25 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 14.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 25 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
12 Jul 25 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
12 Jul 25 Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending

Full pick history is available to subscribers

Bet Better Unlock Full History