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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tom Liberatore is Over 20.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 85%, versus the book's implied 76%, for a model edge of +8.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 8:41AM UTC
AFL

Tom Liberatore

Western Bulldogs

+8.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 20.5 -323 (1.31) · $100→$131
+8.3% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Fri 3 Jul, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Model Probability
84.6%
Implied Probability
76.3%
Model Edge
+8.3%
Predicted Value
25.6 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals84.6%76.3%1.18+8.3%

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AI Analysis

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Tom Liberatore (Western Bulldogs) Over 20.5 Disposals (-323)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to gritty midfielders who thrive in contested situations, Tom Liberatore is a prime pick. In his last five away games, Liberatore has been a disposal machine, averaging an impressive 23.2 touches per match. His recent clash with the upcoming opponent, the Sydney Swans, saw him notch up 24.2 disposals. With a knack for finding the footy both in the clinches and in open play, Liberatore's consistency is evident with an overall hit rate of 15/16. Even amidst the roar of the SCG, Liberatore's ability to read the play, win contested possessions, and drive his team forward should see him comfortably surpass the 20.5 disposal mark. Bet confidently on Liberatore to rack up the possessions in this showdown.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
22.7avg disposals recent
Season best35
Disposals last 10avg 22.7 · hi 25 · lo 19
25222023221924232425

Tom Liberatore has a disposals high of 35 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans Disposals 20.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
03 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans Disposals 19.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
03 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans Disposals 18.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Tom Liberatore (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tom Liberatore is Over 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.3% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Sydney Swans on Friday 3 July at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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