Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
AFL

Tom Liberatore

Western Bulldogs

Value call

Tom Liberatore (Western Bulldogs) has one live pick today: over 22.5 disposals that pays $165 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
25.6 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 73.2% · the book's price implies 60.6% · gap +12.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney, NSW · Outdoor
Fri 3 Jul, 7:40 PM AEST
Tom Liberatore
over 22.5 disposals
Disposals Over 22.5 -154 (1.65) · $100→$165
Value call
HIGHWins about 73 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.50 Odds-154
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tom Liberatore is Over 22.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 73%, the price says 61%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 7:19PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 14°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.2%—60.6%1.37+12.6%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Tom Liberatore (Western Bulldogs) Over 22.5 Disposals (-154)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk Tom Liberatore for this Sydney Swans vs. Western Bulldogs clash. Liberatore has been a midfield maestro, consistently racking up possessions like a seasoned pro. Over his last 5 away games, he's been a ball magnet, averaging 23.2 disposals, comfortably exceeding the 22.5 line. Facing the Swans, he's even more prolific, averaging 24.2 disposals in their last encounters. Liberatore's recent form is red-hot, with an impressive 65.6% disposal efficiency and 12.4 kicks per game. With a hit rate of 13 out of 16 in away games and a streak of 1, Liberatore is poised to dominate the SCG. Backing him to surpass 22.5 disposals is a smart play considering his current form and historical performance against the Swans.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Tom Liberatore averaged 23.8 disposals, 0.2 goals and 2.8 marks per game across 18 games in 2024.

23.8
Disposals
0.2
Goals
2.8
Marks
5.6
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (6 Sep 24 vs Hawthorn), Tom Liberatore recorded 25 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
6 Sep 24Hawthorn25034
25 Aug 24GWS GIANTS24105
18 Aug 24North Melbourne23036
11 Aug 24Adelaide Crows24038
2 Aug 24Melbourne19028
28 Jul 24Sydney Swans22025
20 Jul 24Geelong Cats23027
13 Jul 24Carlton20024
6 Jul 24Port Adelaide22025
29 Jun 24North Melbourne25154
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans Disposals 22.5 Over -154 ✗ MISS
03 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans Disposals 21.5 Over -217 ✗ MISS
03 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans Disposals 20.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
03 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending
03 Jul 26 Western Bulldogs @ Sydney Swans Disposals — — — Pending
07 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Tom Liberatore (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tom Liberatore is Over 22.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.6% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Sydney Swans on Friday 3 July at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.