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AFL

Josh Dolan

Western Bulldogs

Value call

Josh Dolan (Western Bulldogs) has one live pick today: over 1.5 marks that pays $160 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
62 in 100
Predicted
2.8 marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 61.9% · before adjusting for past results 73.9% · the book's price implies 62.5% · gap -0.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 5 Sep, 7:35 PM AEST
Josh Dolan
over 1.5 marks
Marks Over 1.5 -167 (1.60) · $100→$160
Value call
HIGHWins about 62 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$16.00 Odds-167
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Dolan is Over 1.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 62 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 62%, the price says 63%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 9, 11:29AM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks73.9%61.9%62.5%1.62+11.4%

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AI Analysis

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Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs: Josh Dolan Over 1.5 Marks (-167)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

The bet on Josh Dolan getting over 1.5 marks is looking solid at these odds. Our numbers show that Dolan has been doing really well lately, with a higher-than-usual number of bounces and intercepts compared to what's typical. This suggests he's been getting involved a lot more, which is great for this bet. The biggest risk here is that the match against the Western Bulldogs could be closer than expected, which might limit scoring chances for Dolan. However, with the way he's been playing, we think he has a good shot to reach that mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
MarksSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Josh Dolan - AFL Marks market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Sep 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Marks 1.5 Over -167 ✓ HIT
28 Aug 26 Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs Marks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Josh Dolan (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Dolan is Over 1.5 on Marks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.4% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 5 September at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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