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The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Dolan is Over 1.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 77 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 77%, implied 76%, edge +1.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 26, 3:51AM UTC
AFL

Josh Dolan

Western Bulldogs

+1.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Marks Over 1.5 -313 (1.32) · $100→$132
+1.4% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Western Bulldogs
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Fri 28 Aug, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
77 in 100
Predicted
3.0 Marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 77.2% · the book's price implies 75.8% · gap +1.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks77.2%—75.8%1.30+1.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Josh Dolan (Western Bulldogs) Over 1.5 player_marks_over (-312)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's talk Josh Dolan for the upcoming Western Bulldogs clash against the Collingwood Magpies. Dolan's recent form is a key indicator here. Over the last five home games, he's been a marking machine, averaging 2.4 marks with a sprinkle of 0.2 marks inside 50. When facing Collingwood, he's still notching up an average of 1 mark per game. But here's the kicker - Dolan's overall mark average for the last five games sits right at 2.4, showing consistency across the board. With the game being played at home, in front of the loyal Bulldogs faithful, Dolan thrives. The model is predicting him to snag 3 marks, a figure comfortably above the line of 1.5. So, when it's crunch time, back Dolan to patrol the airspace and rack up those crucial grabs. Let's watch him soar and hit that over with ease.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Josh Dolan has cleared 9.5 disposals in 70% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.570%
o10.550%
o11.540%
o12.540%
o13.530%
o14.510%
o15.510%
o16.50%
o17.50%
o18.50%
o19.50%
o20.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Josh Dolan is averaging 12.8 disposals per game over his last 5.

12.8
Disp · Overall
0.4
Goals · Overall
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Josh Dolan (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Dolan is Over 1.5 on Marks. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.4% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Western Bulldogs on Friday 28 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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