Today's NBA Picks & Predictions — Free Picks for Tonight's Games

Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers: Paul Reed Jr Under 19.5 Pts + Rebs (+130)

For this bet to hit tonight, Paul Reed Jr needs to score and grab rebounds, but keep it under 19.5 combined. The Pistons have allowed a lot of three-point attempts, which can lead to missed shots and fewer rebounds. Plus, they both give up similar amounts of rebounds, making it tougher to rack up those numbers. While Reed has talent, he might not get the minutes needed to make a big impact. With both teams playing at a fast pace, there's a chance for scoring, but the risk is that he may not get enough opportunities to hit that number. Keep an eye on the game flow, as that could really change things.

Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks: Jalen Johnson Under 7.5 Assists (-102)

Jalen Johnson has been showing some solid play recently, but when he faces the Wizards, things could change. The Wizards tend to give up a lot of rebounds and allow opponents to shoot many three-pointers, but they don't force a lot of turnovers. This means that while Johnson will have chances to score, he might not get the assists he needs, especially with the Wizards focusing more on limiting shots than creating turnovers. Our numbers suggest that betting on him to get under 7.5 assists is a strong choice. The risk here is that if the game stays close, he could see extra minutes and more opportunities. Still, with the Wizards' defensive style, it seems tricky for him to rack up assists in this matchup.

Brooklyn Nets vs Charlotte Hornets: Moussa Diabate Under 9.5 Rebounds (-127)

Moussa Diabate has been playing well lately, but he faces a tough matchup against the Brooklyn Nets. The Nets are known for their rebounding and allow just 44.5 rebounds per game, which is pretty average for the league. However, the Hornets give up even more, so it might be a challenge for Diabate to grab a lot of boards in this game. Betting on Diabate to get under 9.5 rebounds seems like a smart choice. The Nets' defense might limit his chances, and they don't force many turnovers, so the ball is likely to stay in the hands of other players. The risk here is that the game could be close, leading to more shots and rebounds for both teams.

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks: Under 223 Total Points (-105)

Boston Celtics play Milwaukee Bucks in the NBA on Thursday 5 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Under 223 Total Points. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

This is a lean only, so we suggest no stake.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers: Ivica Zubac Under 13.5 Points (-110)

The Memphis Grizzlies allow a lot of three-point attempts, which means teams can score a lot if they shoot well. However, Ivica Zubac has been up and down when it comes to scoring. The numbers suggest he might struggle to get above 13.5 points against the Pacers, who also limit scoring opportunities. Both teams are pretty close in how they force turnovers, so it could be a tight game. Plus, Zubac might face some tough defense from the Pacers. With all this in mind, betting on him to score under 13.5 points seems like a solid choice, but it's not a guaranteed win.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz: Keyonte George Under 6.5 Assists (-145)

Keyonte George has been playing well lately, but the matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans could be tricky for him. The Pelicans allow a lot of three-point attempts, which might mean George has to focus more on scoring rather than setting up his teammates. Additionally, the Pelicans are pretty solid at forcing turnovers, which can disrupt a player's rhythm and chances to rack up assists. Betting on George to get under 6.5 assists seems smart right now. The Pelicans give up a fair number of rebounds, but they are tough on defense in other areas. The closest risk here is that George could still have a great game and find his teammates open, but the odds are pointing towards him having fewer assists than usual.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers: Jaylin Williams Under 15.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts (-109)

Jaylin Williams has been playing well lately, but the matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers could be tricky for him. The Cavaliers have been solid on defense, allowing fewer threes and rebounds compared to other teams. They also don't give up many points, which means there might not be as many chances for Williams to rack up his stats. With Oklahoma City Thunder allowing a lot of rebounds and threes, it might seem like a good opportunity. However, the tight nature of this game and Cleveland's defense means Williams could struggle to hit the mark of 15.5 points, rebounds, and assists combined. It's a solid pick to bet under that total today.

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves: Kevin Durant Under 1.5 3-Pointers (+116)

For this bet to work, Kevin Durant needs to hit fewer than two 3-pointers tonight against the Houston Rockets. The Rockets have a history of letting opponents shoot a lot of threes, but they also force turnovers at a decent rate. This could lead to more driving opportunities for Durant, keeping him away from the three-point line. Durant's scoring has been solid lately, but he might not get the same chances from deep against a team like the Rockets. Since they allow opponents to put up plenty of threes, the game could turn into a fast-paced one. The biggest risk here is how closely matched these teams can be, which might give Durant some open looks if the game stays tight.

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors: Nikola Jokic Under 20.5 Rebs + Asts (+100)

Nikola Jokic is a key player for the Denver Nuggets, but the Toronto Raptors have a good way of slowing him down. They force turnovers more often than Denver, which can limit Jokic's chances to grab rebounds and dish out assists. Plus, Toronto gives up a decent number of rebounds, but Jokic might find it tougher to reach his usual numbers against a team that plays strong defense. The bet here is for Jokic to have under 20.5 combined rebounds and assists. While he is a talented player, the matchup with Toronto could make it hard for him to hit that mark. Also, Jokic's recent form and the Raptors' ability to contain him makes this a bit of a risk. Just remember, things can change during the game!

Phoenix Suns vs Portland Trail Blazers: Deni Avdija Under 23.5 Points (-102)

Deni Avdija has been on a bit of a scoring dip lately, which makes betting on him to score under 23.5 points a solid choice. The Phoenix Suns are tough on defense, forcing turnovers on a similar level to the league average, but they also allow opponents to take a lot of three-pointers. This means Avdija might struggle to get the shots he needs to hit that point total, especially since he won't have many easy baskets against their defense. The Portland Trail Blazers also have their own challenges, giving up a lot of rebounds, but they don't create many turnovers either, which keeps possessions more predictable. The risk here is that if Avdija finds good rhythm early, he might surprise us, but the odds seem to favor him not reaching that number today.

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks: Daniel Gafford Over 6.5 Points (-250)

Daniel Gafford has a solid chance to score over 6.5 points against the Dallas Mavericks at the Frost Bank Center. The Spurs have been giving up a lot of rebounds, which could lead to extra chances for Gafford to get the ball and make plays. Plus, the Mavericks allow a fair number of three-point attempts, so if Gafford gets in a rhythm, he could easily reach that points total. One risk to consider is how close both teams are in forcing turnovers, but Gafford has shown he can find ways to score. With the Spurs looking to bounce back and Gafford's recent form, betting on him to go over 6.5 points makes sense.

Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Lakers: Luka Doncic Under 48.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts (-114)

Luka Doncic needs to score, grab rebounds, and dish out assists, but tonight's matchup against the Sacramento Kings makes it a tough challenge. The Kings allow a lot of three-point attempts and rebounds, but they can also be solid on defense at times, making it hard for Doncic to hit those high numbers across all categories. While Doncic is a superstar, he might struggle to reach those totals with the Kings' defense tightening up when it matters most. The closest fact to worry about is how the Kings force turnovers, which can disrupt Doncic's rhythm. Overall, betting on him to stay under 48.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists seems like a smart move.

Los Angeles Clippers vs Miami Heat: Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 29.5 Points (-105)

For Giannis Antetokounmpo to score under 29.5 points tonight, he needs to face a Miami Heat team that has been pretty good at limiting scoring. They allow a decent number of rebounds but also force turnovers regularly, which can disrupt a player's rhythm. Plus, the Heat's defensive setup means they often give up plenty of three-point attempts, but they still manage to keep scores down overall. The biggest risk here is that Giannis is a top player, and he can explode for big numbers on any night. However, with Miami's strong defensive stats and their ability to force mistakes, it makes it more likely that he won't hit that high mark. This bet has a good chance, but remember, it's not a guarantee.