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The latest Bet Better model pick for Matisse Thybulle is Under 1.5 on 3-Pointers.
On the 3-Pointers market the model assigns a model win probability of 60%, versus the book's implied 48%, for a model edge of +12.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NBA

Matisse Thybulle

Portland Trail Blazers

+12.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
3-Pointers Under 1.5 +108 (2.08)
+12.1% Edge
Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Thu 9 Apr, 1:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
60.1%
Implied Probability
48.1%
Model Edge
+12.1%
Predicted Value
1.4 3-Pointers

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
3-Pointers60.1%—48.1%1.66+12.1%

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AI Analysis

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Matisse Thybulle (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 1.5 Threes Made (+108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Portland Trail Blazers roll into San Antonio, all eyes will be on Matisse Thybulle and his shooting from beyond the arc. While he's had some solid performances overall, the numbers suggest this might be a night where he struggles to hit that elusive second three-pointer. Thybulle has averaged just 0.7 threes against the Spurs in their last five matchups, and even on the road, his recent form shows he's only connecting on 1.8 threes per game. With an expected stat value of just 1.37, the under on 1.5 seems particularly enticing. The Spurs have a knack for stifling perimeter shooters, and Thybulle's hit rate away from home has dipped significantly. In fact, he's gone under this mark in 18 of his last 20 away games. Given the defensive intensity expected in this matchup, it's hard to imagine him lighting it up tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
1.7avg · last 10
L52.0Szn1.4Home1.8Away0.8Best5
1+73%
2+40%
3+13%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.7 · hi 5 · lo 0
5100112223

Matisse Thybulle is averaging 1.7 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.4, best 5). He clears 1+ in 73% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs 3-Pointers 1.5 Under +108 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets 3-Pointers 1.5 Under -125 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Matisse Thybulle (Portland Trail Blazers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matisse Thybulle is Under 1.5 on 3-Pointers. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.1% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs on Thursday 9 April at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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