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The latest Bet Better model pick for Matisse Thybulle is Under 1.5 on 3-Pointers.
On 3-Pointers, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 60%, implied 48%, edge +12.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 4:09PM UTC
NBA

Matisse Thybulle

Portland Trail Blazers

+12.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
3-Pointers Under 1.5 +110 (2.10) · $100→$210
+12.6% Edge
Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Thu 9 Apr, 1:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
1.4 3-Pointers
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 60.2% · the book's price implies 47.6% · gap +12.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
3-Pointers60.2%—47.6%1.66+12.6%

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AI Analysis

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Matisse Thybulle (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 1.5 Threes Made (+110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for the matchup between the Spurs and the Trail Blazers, Matisse Thybulle's three-point shooting stands out as a compelling under bet. Despite averaging two threes over his last five games, his away performance tells a different story; he's hitting just 1.8 per game on the road and a mere 0.7 against the Spurs specifically. Thybulle's recent form against teams like San Antonio has been particularly underwhelming, with only one made three in their past encounters. The pressure of an away game and the Spurs' defensive schemes could further complicate his chances to find the arc. With an expected stat value of just 1.37 and a hit rate of 14 out of 20 overall, the trend suggests Thybulle is likely to fall short. Given these factors, backing the under at 1.5 threes feels like a savvy play as he navigates this challenging matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Matisse Thybulle — 2024-25 season averages

Over 15 games in the 2024-25 season, Matisse Thybulle averaged 7.5 points, 3.5 rebounds and 1.9 assists in 20.7 minutes per game, shooting 47.7% from the field and 43.8% from three-point range.

7.5
PPG
3.5
RPG
1.9
APG
2.2
SPG
0.6
BPG
20.7
MPG
47.7%
FG%
43.8%
3P%

Matisse Thybulle — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Matisse Thybulle has played 27.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

27.4
MPG (L5)
10.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Matisse Thybulle — home vs away scoring

At home Matisse Thybulle averages 8.2 points per game; on the road, 6.3. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

8.2
PPG at home
6.3
PPG on the road

Matisse Thybulle — scoring by opponent

Matisse Thybulle scores most against the SAC, averaging 8.0 points per game in that matchup.

8.0
SAC
6.8
GS
6.6
TOR
6.3
LAL
5.8
LAC
5.8
OKC

Matisse Thybulle — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Matisse Thybulle has averaged 8.5 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2.3 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Aprvs LAL291552
11 Aprvs GS221140
9 Apr@ UTAH381246
6 Aprvs SA21642
4 Apr@ CHI27742
3 Apr@ TOR25531
1 Apr@ ATL29845
30 Mar@ NY12010
27 Mar@ SAC18624
25 Marvs CLE151531
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Matisse Thybulle (Portland Trail Blazers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matisse Thybulle is Under 1.5 on 3-Pointers. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.6% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs on Thursday 9 April at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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