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Model picks & player props
Utah Jazz
VS
New Orleans Pelicans

Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:19AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Indoor
Wed 8 Apr 2026, 12:00AM
1
Game Picks
26
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: New Orleans Pelicans (Moneyline)
For Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans (NBA), model win probability 82.2%, fair odds 1.22, book price -270, model edge +9.2%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Wed 8 Apr 2026, 12:00AM at Smoothie King Center.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
New Orleans Pelicans
Player props & full board
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
New Orleans PelicansMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Utah Jazz

  • Trey Alexander GDay-to-day
  • Ace Bailey GDay-to-day
  • Darryn Peterson GDay-to-day
  • Cody Williams FDay-to-day
  • Jusuf Nurkic CDay-to-day
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. FDay-to-day
  • Isaiah Collier GDay-to-day
  • Keyonte George GDay-to-day
  • Kyle Filipowski FDay-to-day

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Micah Peavy GDay-to-day
  • Karlo Matkovic FDay-to-day
  • Zion Williamson FDay-to-day
  • Dejounte Murray GDay-to-day
  • Trey Murphy III FDay-to-day
  • Yves Missi CDay-to-day
  • Bryce McGowens GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 2:57AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Jeremiah Fears New Orleans Pelicans Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jeremiah Fears New Orleans Pelicans Pts + Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jeremiah Fears New Orleans Pelicans Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Derik Queen New Orleans Pelicans Pts + Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jeremiah Fears New Orleans Pelicans Pts + Rebs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsUtah Jazz @ New Orleans PelicansNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans and Utah Jazz combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadNew Orleans Pelicans spreadNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans (season record) meet Utah Jazz; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineNew Orleans Pelicans to winNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans (season record) host or visit Utah Jazz; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)New Orleans Pelicans totalNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Utah Jazz; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Utah Jazz totalNo line posted

Utah Jazz averaged their season scoring ahead of facing New Orleans Pelicans; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Utah Jazz @ New Orleans Pelicans — model preview

<p>Deep dive into New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Cody Williams. Check out NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz stats and odds.</p>

Cody Williams (Utah Jazz) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-143)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Cody Williams has been a solid contributor for the Pelicans, but as they head into this matchup against the Jazz, the numbers suggest we should take a closer look at his rebounding potential. Averaging just 4.4 boards per game on the road, his performance dips further against Utah, where he's managed only 2 rebounds in their last away encounters. With an expected stat value of 3.7, the under 5.5 seems to be the smart play here.Even though he's hit the over in 8 of his last 10 contests, a significant drop to 4 rebounds in his recent away games hints at a struggle when facing formidable opponents like the Jazz. Given the matchup dynamics and his away form, taking the under on Williams feels like a savvy move. The stats point to a tougher night on the boards for him, making this bet a compelling choice.

Jeremiah Fears (New Orleans Pelicans) Under 4.5 Rebounds (+116)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the New Orleans Pelicans gear up to face the Utah Jazz, all eyes are on Jeremiah Fears, particularly when it comes to his rebounding numbers. Despite the excitement around him, the data suggests a different narrative. Fears has hit the under on 4.5 rebounds in an impressive nine of his last ten games, showcasing a remarkable consistency that hints at a potential dip tonight. At home, he's been even more reliable, hitting the under in all five of his recent home games. With an expected stat value of just 3.68 rebounds, it's clear that he may struggle to reach that threshold against a Jazz team that presents a challenging matchup down low. So, when considering the odds, it feels like a savvy move to lean toward the under on Fears' rebounds-especially with the Pelicans needing to adjust their game plan to secure a win.

Kyle Filipowski (Utah Jazz) Under 9.5 Rebounds (+100)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In the upcoming clash between the New Orleans Pelicans and the Utah Jazz, targeting Kyle Filipowski for under 9.5 rebounds seems like the smart play. While Filipowski has been a solid rebounder, averaging 10.4 boards over his last five games, his away performance tells a different story. He's pulled down only 8.2 rebounds per game on the road, and against the Jazz, his average dips to 8.4. What's more revealing is his recent form; in his last six away games, he's hit the under in five of them. The Jazz are no slouches on the boards either, often limiting opponents' second-chance opportunities. With an expected stat value of just 8.65, Filipowski might find it tough to match that 9.5 mark in this away matchup. Given the trends and the matchup dynamics, betting the under feels like a savvy choice.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz : New Orleans Pelicans win (-270)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the New Orleans Pelicans take to the court against the Utah Jazz, the statistics signal a strong case for backing the Pelicans. Although the Jazz are no slouches, the Pelicans have been consistently demonstrating a performance that's hard to ignore. The model prediction of 0.96, which is close to a perfect score, speaks volumes about the Pelicans' impressive form. Plus, with a substantial model edge of 9.2%, the Pelicans stand out over the Jazz. The implied probability of 73.0% further testifies to the Pelicans' solid chances. It's not just about the numbers though. In their recent matchups, the Pelicans have showcased a tenacious defense and potent offense, making them a formidable contender. So, all things considered, the smart money here is on the New Orleans Pelicans.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
1
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
08 Apr 26 Moneyline New Orleans Pelicans ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans in the NBA. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Wednesday 8 April 2026 at Smoothie King Center. The model has generated 1 game pick and 26 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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