Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Picks, November 4, 2026

For this bet to work, Kevin Durant needs to hit fewer than two 3-pointers tonight against the Houston Rockets. The Rockets have a history of letting opponents shoot a lot of threes, but they also force turnovers at a decent rate. This could lead to more driving opportunities for Durant, keeping him away from the three-point line. Durant's scoring has been solid lately, but he might not get the same chances from deep against a team like the Rockets. Since they allow opponents to put up plenty of threes, the game could turn into a fast-paced one. The biggest risk here is how closely matched these teams can be, which might give Durant some open looks if the game stays tight.

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves: Marcus Smart Over 9.5 Pts + Rebs (-118)

Marcus Smart has been showing a strong all-around game lately, helping his team in both scoring and rebounding. With the Houston Rockets allowing a lot of three-point attempts, he could find plenty of chances to rack up points, especially if he gets hot from beyond the arc. Plus, the Timberwolves give up about 44 rebounds a game, which should help Smart grab a few boards as well. Betting on him to score over 9.5 points and rebounds looks promising based on his recent form. The big risk here is that both teams are closely matched, so it could be a tight game where Smart's opportunities might be limited. Still, he has a solid chance to hit that mark given how he's been playing.

That is our read - no bet on this board is a sure thing. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.