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The latest Bet Better model pick for Luka Doncic is Under 51.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists.
On Points + Rebounds + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 52%, edge +20.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:34PM UTC
NBA

Luka Doncic

Los Angeles Lakers

+20.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 51.5 -108 (1.93) · $100→$193
+20.8% Edge
Los Angeles Lakers @ Indiana Pacers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN · Indoor
Wed 25 Mar, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
47.0 Pts + Rebs + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.6% · the book's price implies 51.8% · gap +20.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts72.6%—51.8%1.38+20.8%

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AI Analysis

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Luka Doncic (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 51.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Lakers face off against the Pacers, Luka Doncic's prop bet for under 51.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists becomes intriguing. While Doncic has been a stellar performer, his recent stats suggest a dip in production on the road. Over the last five games, he's averaging around 40 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 6.2 assists-numbers that fall short of that lofty total. Additionally, when playing away, his contributions drop slightly, with averages of 40.2 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 6.2 assists echoing a trend of diminished impact. His recent outings against Indiana reflect a similar theme, with an average of just 24.5 points on the road against them. Considering that he's only hit this mark in 5 of his last 7 away games, the under on Doncic's combined stats feels like a savvy pick for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Luka Doncic — 2024-25 season averages

Over 55 games in the 2024-25 season, Luka Doncic averaged 28.3 points, 8.1 rebounds and 7.5 assists in 35.9 minutes per game, shooting 45.0% from the field and 36.6% from three-point range.

28.3
PPG
8.1
RPG
7.5
APG
1.7
SPG
0.4
BPG
35.9
MPG
45.0%
FG%
36.6%
3P%

Luka Doncic — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Luka Doncic has played 41.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

41.6
MPG (L5)
30.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Luka Doncic — points hit rate

Luka Doncic has scored over 25.5 points in 51% of 279 career games.

o12.595%
o15.588%
o20.575%
o25.551%
o30.528%
o35.514%

Luka Doncic — home vs away scoring

At home Luka Doncic averages 26.9 points per game; on the road, 30.3. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

26.9
PPG at home
30.3
PPG on the road

Luka Doncic — scoring by opponent

Luka Doncic scores most against the LAC, averaging 32.3 points per game in that matchup.

32.3
LAC
31.3
HOU
31.0
MIL
31.0
POR
30.7
CLE
30.7
GS

Luka Doncic — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Luka Doncic has averaged 32.3 points, 6.7 rebounds and 5.9 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
30 Aprvs MIN402879
27 Apr@ MIN463812
25 Apr@ MIN401778
22 Aprvs MIN4231129
19 Aprvs MIN403781
11 Aprvs HOU313987
9 Apr@ DAL384586
8 Apr@ OKC312335
6 Apr@ OKC373076
4 Aprvs NO363566
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Mar 26 Sacramento Kings @ Los Angeles Lakers Rebounds 3.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT
02 Mar 26 Sacramento Kings @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs 29.5 Over -233 ✓ HIT
02 Mar 26 Sacramento Kings @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts 37.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Luka Doncic (Los Angeles Lakers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Luka Doncic is Under 51.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.8% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Lakers vs Indiana Pacers on Wednesday 25 March at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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