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NBA

Deni Avdija

Portland Trail Blazers

+24.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 39.5 -112 (1.89)
+24.8% Edge
Los Angeles Clippers @ Portland Trail Blazers
Moda Center, Portland
Sat 11 Apr, 2:00AM
Model Probability
77.7%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+24.8%
Predicted Value
33.8 Pts + Rebs + Asts

AI Analysis

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Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 39.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-112)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Trail Blazers take on the Clippers, all eyes will be on Deni Avdija, but betting the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists line of 39.5 could be the savvy move. While Avdija has been a solid contributor recently, averaging 33.77 in his last five outings, the home court doesn't favor him as much. At home, he's only managing 20.4 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 5.4 assists-far below the line we're targeting. Against the Clippers, he's averaged just 13.6 points at home, and his overall production has dipped against them. With a hit rate of just 8 out of his last 9 home games falling below this number, it's clear that while Avdija is talented, this matchup may not play into his strengths. Expect a night where he struggles to reach that 39.5 threshold, making the under a compelling bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (13 picks) 69.2% (9/13)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs + Asts 39.5 Under -111 ✗ MISS
09 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs + Asts 38.5 Under -104 ✗ MISS
09 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 32.5 Under -108 ✗ MISS
07 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets Points Pending
07 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Rebs Pending
07 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Rebs + Asts Pending

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About This Player

Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 13 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 69.2% (9/13). The latest model pick for Deni Avdija is Under 39.5 on Pts + Rebs + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.8% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Clippers vs Portland Trail Blazers on Saturday 11 April at Moda Center, Portland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.