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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Deni Avdija is Under 39.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists.
On the Points + Rebounds + Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 77%, versus the book's implied 54%, for a model edge of +23.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 9:23AM UTC
NBA

Deni Avdija

Portland Trail Blazers

+23.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 39.5 -116 (1.86) · $100→$186
+23.4% Edge
Los Angeles Clippers @ Portland Trail Blazers
Moda Center, Portland, OR · Indoor
Sat 11 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
77.2%
Implied Probability
53.8%
Model Edge
+23.4%
Predicted Value
33.9 Pts + Rebs + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts77.2%53.8%1.30+23.4%

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AI Analysis

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Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 39.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-116)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Portland Trail Blazers prepare to face the Los Angeles Clippers, all eyes will be on Deni Avdija. While he's been impressive lately, we're looking at an intriguing opportunity to bet the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists at 39.5. At home, Avdija's numbers dip significantly-averaging just 20.4 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 5.4 assists. Against the Clippers, he's managed only 13.6 points and 6 boards at home. With the Clippers' strong defense, he's likely to feel the pressure, leading to a lower production night. Factor in his overall hit rate, where he's gone under this mark 14 of the last 20 games, and it becomes clear: this is a spot where Avdija may struggle to find his usual rhythm. Betting the under on this player prop feels like the smart play given the circumstances.

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Pick History & Track Record

Deni Avdija — 2024-25 season averages

Over 72 games in the 2024-25 season, Deni Avdija averaged 16.9 points, 7.3 rebounds and 3.9 assists in 30.0 minutes per game, shooting 47.6% from the field and 36.5% from three-point range.

16.9
PPG
7.3
RPG
3.9
APG
1.0
SPG
0.5
BPG
30.0
MPG
47.6%
FG%
36.5%
3P%

Deni Avdija — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Deni Avdija has played 35.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

35.8
MPG (L5)
30.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Deni Avdija — home vs away scoring

At home Deni Avdija averages 17.1 points per game; on the road, 16.7. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

17.1
PPG at home
16.7
PPG on the road

Deni Avdija — scoring by opponent

Deni Avdija scores most against the DAL, averaging 15.2 points per game in that matchup.

15.2
DAL
13.6
NY
12.8
PHX
12.7
CHI
12.7
TOR
12.5
MIL

Deni Avdija — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Deni Avdija has averaged 26.8 points, 10.8 rebounds and 5.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
4 Apr@ CHI3537115
3 Apr@ TOR3326156
1 Apr@ ATL38321510
30 Mar@ NY413374
27 Mar@ SAC322493
25 Marvs CLE3817106
23 Marvs BOS3917114
21 Marvs DEN383687
19 Marvs MEM3931168
17 Marvs WSH271562
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Deni Avdija is Under 39.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.4% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Clippers vs Portland Trail Blazers on Saturday 11 April at Moda Center, Portland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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