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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Deni Avdija is Under 39.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists.
On Points + Rebounds + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 78%, implied 53%, edge +24.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:13PM UTC
NBA

Deni Avdija

Portland Trail Blazers

+24.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 39.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
+24.8% Edge
Los Angeles Clippers @ Portland Trail Blazers
Moda Center, Portland, OR · Indoor
Sat 11 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
33.8 Pts + Rebs + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 77.7% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap +24.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts77.7%52.9%1.29+24.8%

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AI Analysis

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Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 39.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-112)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Trail Blazers take on the Clippers, all eyes will be on Deni Avdija, but betting the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists line of 39.5 could be the savvy move. While Avdija has been a solid contributor recently, averaging 33.77 in his last five outings, the home court doesn't favor him as much. At home, he's only managing 20.4 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 5.4 assists-far below the line we're targeting. Against the Clippers, he's averaged just 13.6 points at home, and his overall production has dipped against them. With a hit rate of just 8 out of his last 9 home games falling below this number, it's clear that while Avdija is talented, this matchup may not play into his strengths. Expect a night where he struggles to reach that 39.5 threshold, making the under a compelling bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Deni Avdija — 2024-25 season averages

Over 72 games in the 2024-25 season, Deni Avdija averaged 16.9 points, 7.3 rebounds and 3.9 assists in 30.0 minutes per game, shooting 47.6% from the field and 36.5% from three-point range.

16.9
PPG
7.3
RPG
3.9
APG
1.0
SPG
0.5
BPG
30.0
MPG
47.6%
FG%
36.5%
3P%

Deni Avdija — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Deni Avdija has played 35.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

35.8
MPG (L5)
30.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Deni Avdija — home vs away scoring

At home Deni Avdija averages 17.1 points per game; on the road, 16.7. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

17.1
PPG at home
16.7
PPG on the road

Deni Avdija — scoring by opponent

Deni Avdija scores most against the DAL, averaging 15.2 points per game in that matchup.

15.2
DAL
13.6
NY
12.8
PHX
12.7
CHI
12.7
TOR
12.5
MIL

Deni Avdija — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Deni Avdija has averaged 26.8 points, 10.8 rebounds and 5.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
4 Apr@ CHI3537115
3 Apr@ TOR3326156
1 Apr@ ATL38321510
30 Mar@ NY413374
27 Mar@ SAC322493
25 Marvs CLE3817106
23 Marvs BOS3917114
21 Marvs DEN383687
19 Marvs MEM3931168
17 Marvs WSH271562
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Deni Avdija is Under 39.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.8% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Clippers vs Portland Trail Blazers on Saturday 11 April at Moda Center, Portland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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