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Deni Avdija

Portland Trail Blazers

Value call

Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) has one live pick today: under 29.5 pts rebs that pays $205 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
26.0 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 52.3% · before adjusting for past results 69.1% · the book's price implies 48.8% · gap +3.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Memphis Grizzlies @ Portland Trail Blazers
Moda Center, Portland, OR · Indoor
Thu 29 Oct, 10:00 PM ET
Deni Avdija
under 29.5 pts rebs
Pts + Rebs Under 29.5 +105 (2.05) · $100→$205
Value call
LEANWins about 52 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$20.50 Odds+105
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Deni Avdija is Under 29.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 52%, the price says 49%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 9:45AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs69.1%52.3%48.8%1.91+20.3%

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AI Analysis

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Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies: Deni Avdija Under 29.5 Pts + Rebs (+105)

Odds correct at time of publishing

At the Moda Center, Deni Avdija will face the Memphis Grizzlies, who are tough on defense. The Grizzlies allow opponents to shoot a lot of three-pointers, but they also force turnovers more often than average. That means Avdija might struggle to get the ball in good spots. Plus, Memphis gives up a few more rebounds than average, but Portland also allows a lot, so it might not be easy for Avdija to rack up numbers in both areas. Looking at the matchup, Avdija needs to score and grab boards to reach over 29.5 combined points and rebounds. The Grizzlies have a solid defense, and they could make it tough for him, especially if the game turns into a high-pressure situation. While the chance looks good, remember that he could have an off night.

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Pick History & Track Record

Deni Avdija — 2024-25 season averages

Over 72 games in the 2024-25 season, Deni Avdija averaged 16.9 points, 7.3 rebounds and 3.9 assists in 30.0 minutes per game, shooting 47.6% from the field and 36.5% from three-point range.

16.9
PPG
7.3
RPG
3.9
APG
1.0
SPG
0.5
BPG
30.0
MPG
47.6%
FG%
36.5%
3P%

Deni Avdija — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Deni Avdija has played 35.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

35.8
MPG (L5)
30.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Deni Avdija — home vs away scoring

At home Deni Avdija averages 17.1 points per game; on the road, 16.7. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

17.1
PPG at home
16.7
PPG on the road

Deni Avdija — scoring by opponent

Deni Avdija scores most against the DAL, averaging 15.2 points per game in that matchup.

15.2
DAL
13.6
NY
12.8
PHX
12.7
CHI
12.7
TOR
12.5
MIL

Deni Avdija — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Deni Avdija has averaged 26.8 points, 10.8 rebounds and 5.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
4 Apr@ CHI3537115
3 Apr@ TOR3326156
1 Apr@ ATL38321510
30 Mar@ NY413374
27 Mar@ SAC322493
25 Marvs CLE3817106
23 Marvs BOS3917114
21 Marvs DEN383687
19 Marvs MEM3931168
17 Marvs WSH271562
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Rebs + Asts 41.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
06 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Rebs + Asts 40.5 Under -106 ✓ HIT
06 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Rebs + Asts 39.5 Under -106 ✓ HIT
29 Oct 26 Memphis Grizzlies @ Portland Trail Blazers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
08 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
08 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Deni Avdija is Under 29.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.3% on this pick. Their next game is Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers on Thursday 29 October at Moda Center, Portland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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