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Model picks & player props
Cleveland Cavaliers
VS
Oklahoma City Thunder

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:20AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Indoor
Sun 22 Feb 2026, 6:00PM
3
Game Picks
7
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Oklahoma City Thunder 3.5 (Point Spread)
For Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder (NBA), model win probability 74.6%, fair odds 1.34, book price -115, model edge +21.1%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 22 Feb 2026, 6:00PM at Paycom Center.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Oklahoma City Thunder
3.5
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Oklahoma City ThunderPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Tristan Enaruna FDay-to-day
  • Nae'Qwan Tomlin FDay-to-day

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Otega Oweh GDay-to-day
  • Aday Mara CDay-to-day
  • Bennett Stirtz GDay-to-day
  • Ajay Mitchell GDay-to-day
  • Thomas Sorber CDay-to-day
  • Jalen Williams GDay-to-day
  • Nikola Topic GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 10:56PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Dennis Schroder Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jared McCain Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Rebs 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Isaiah Joe Oklahoma City Thunder Assists 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Donovan Mitchell Cleveland Cavaliers Steals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Evan Mobley Cleveland Cavaliers Blocks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsCleveland Cavaliers @ Oklahoma City ThunderNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder and Cleveland Cavaliers combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadOklahoma City Thunder spreadNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder (season record) meet Cleveland Cavaliers; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineOklahoma City Thunder to winNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder (season record) host or visit Cleveland Cavaliers; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Oklahoma City Thunder totalNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Cleveland Cavaliers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Cleveland Cavaliers totalNo line posted

Cleveland Cavaliers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Oklahoma City Thunder; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Oklahoma City Thunder — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Evan Mobley. Check out NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers stats and odds.</p>

Evan Mobley (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 1.5 Blocks (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Evan Mobley's betting rationale for "Under 1.5 blocks" is substantiated by his past performance statistics. His average blocks in the last 5 games, whether overall (1.4) or away (1.2), are both less than the bet's threshold of 1.5. This pattern holds true even when facing this specific opponent, with an average of 1.4 blocks overall and 1.3 when playing away. Additionally, Mobley's recent form suggests a bias towards the 'Under', with a 70% hit rate in the last 10 games overall and a 62.5% hit rate in the last 8 away games. This trend, coupled with the expected stat value of 1.27 (which is below the outcome point), suggests a stronger likelihood that Mobley will achieve less than 1.5 blocks in this upcoming game against the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Aaron Wiggins (Oklahoma City Thunder) Under 6.5 Rebounds + Assists (-147)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Aaron Wiggins to register under 6.5 combined rebounds and assists is strongly supported by his recent performance statistics. Over his last five games, Wiggins has averaged only 2 rebounds and 0.8 assists overall, and even at home, these averages only slightly increase to 2.4 rebounds and 0.4 assists. Even when considering his performance against the Cavaliers specifically, Wiggins' combined rebounds and assists averages fall short of the 6.5 mark. The expected stat value of 5.3 also indicates that Wiggins is more likely to fall under the target. Moreover, the fact that this bet has hit in all his last 11 games overall and his last 7 home games further reinforces the projected outcome. Therefore, statistical trends suggest Wiggins will not surpass the 6.5 rebounds and assists mark in the upcoming game.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers : Cleveland Cavaliers Under 124.5 Team Total Points (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'Cleveland Cavaliers Under 124.5' for the Team Total Points (Alternate) market is substantiated by recent performance data. Over their last five games, the Cavaliers' average score is 112.2, significantly lower than the outcome point of 124.5. Even when focusing on their last five away games, their average score only increases slightly to 116.8, which is still well below the threshold. Furthermore, the model prediction for the Cavaliers is 112.47, which aligns with their recent scoring trends. Additionally, the Thunder's opponents have averaged 109.6 points in the last five games, suggesting that they are capable of limiting the Cavaliers' scoring. Thus, the statistical trends strongly indicate that the Cavaliers are unlikely to score over 124.5 points in this match.

Luguentz Dort (Oklahoma City Thunder) Over 4.5 Rebounds + Assists (-152)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

A bet on Luguentz Dort for Over 4.5 rebounds + assists in the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers game is supported by his recent performance data. In the last five games overall, Dort has averaged 5.2 rebounds and 0.6 assists, which totals 5.8, exceeding the target. His performance at home is particularly noteworthy, with an average of 5 rebounds and 1.2 assists, again totaling above the target at 6.2. Even when considering his specific performance against Cleveland Cavaliers, his average rebounds and assists total 5.8 (3.4 + 2.4), which is also over the target. Furthermore, his hit rate for this target in the last three games overall is 66.67%, and an even more impressive 83.33% in his last six home games. These stats suggest a strong likelihood of Dort achieving over 4.5 rebounds + assists in the upcoming game.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
2
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
22 Feb 26 Team Total Points Under 124.5 ✓ HIT
22 Feb 26 Point Spread Oklahoma City Thunder 3.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Sunday 22 February 2026 at Paycom Center. The model has generated 3 game picks and 7 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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