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Paul Reed Jr

Detroit Pistons

Value call

Paul Reed Jr (Detroit Pistons) has one live pick today: under 23.5 pts rebs asts that pays $185 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
16.8 Pts + Rebs + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.9% · before adjusting for past results 81.7% · the book's price implies 54.1% · gap -2.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Detroit Pistons @ Miami Heat
Kaseya Center, Miami, FL · Indoor
Sat 14 Nov, 8:00 PM ET
Paul Reed Jr
under 23.5 pts rebs asts
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 23.5 -118 (1.85) · $100→$185
Value call
LEANWins about 52 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.50 Odds-118
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Paul Reed Jr is Under 23.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists.
On Points + Rebounds + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 52 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 52%, the price says 54%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 12:31AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nba pts + rebs unders: +$3,924 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts81.7%51.9%54.1%1.93+27.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games8/10

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AI Analysis

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Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons: Paul Reed Jr Under 23.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts (-118)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Paul Reed Jr. is facing a tough matchup against the Miami Heat, who are known for their strong defense and ability to force mistakes. They make it hard for opponents to score and control the game, which can limit Reed's chances to rack up points, rebounds, and assists. The Heat also allow a decent number of three-point attempts, but their overall defensive style can really slow things down. Betting on Reed to score under 23.5 points, rebounds, and assists makes sense here. The Heat are very efficient at shutting down players, and Reed might struggle to find his rhythm. One risk is that Reed could have a surprising breakout game, but given the Heat's defensive pressure, it feels like a solid bet to keep his numbers low.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (44 picks) 61.4% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Paul Reed Jr's lines for Sun 15 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pts + Rebs + Asts 23.5

Paul Reed Jr's pts + rebs + asts line is 23.5.

Points 11.5

Paul Reed Jr's points line is 11.5.

Rebounds 8.5

Paul Reed Jr's rebounds line is 8.5.

Betting angles

3 markets live
PointsLive lineU 11.5 +100

Paul Reed Jr has active Points prop markets with a posted line of U 11.5 (+100). Per-game form is being refreshed.

Pts + Reb + AstLive lineU 23.5 -118

Paul Reed Jr has active Pts + Reb + Ast prop markets with a posted line of U 23.5 (-118). Per-game form is being refreshed.

ReboundsLive lineU 8.5 -109

Paul Reed Jr has active Rebounds prop markets with a posted line of U 8.5 (-109). Per-game form is being refreshed.

AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Paul Reed Jr has active Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Paul Reed Jr has active Points + Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Paul Reed Jr has active Points + Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Rebounds + AssistsSeason marketNo line posted

Paul Reed Jr has active Rebounds + Assists prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Nov 26 Detroit Pistons @ Washington Wizards Pts + Rebs + Asts 17.5 Under +140 ✗ MISS
09 Nov 26 Washington Wizards @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs + Asts 20.5 Under +160 ✓ HIT
09 Nov 26 Washington Wizards @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs 19.5 Under +125 ✓ HIT
09 Nov 26 Washington Wizards @ Detroit Pistons Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
09 Nov 26 Washington Wizards @ Detroit Pistons Rebounds — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Paul Reed Jr (Detroit Pistons) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 61.4% on tracked Paul Reed Jr picks. The latest model pick for Paul Reed Jr is Under 23.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +27.7% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat on Saturday 14 November at Kaseya Center, Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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