In the 2024-25 regular season the Heat covered the spread in 38 of 82 games (1 push): 21 of 41 at home and 17 of 41 away. Their games went over the total 44 times in 82. So far in 2026-27: covered in 2 of 6, and over in 3 of 6.
| Season | Covered at home | Covered away | Covered, all | Over at home | Over away | Over, all |
|---|
| 2026-27 (so far) | 1 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 6 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 6 |
| 2024-25 | 21 of 41 | 17 of 41 (1 push) | 38 of 82 (1 push) | 25 of 41 | 19 of 41 | 44 of 82 |
| 2023-24 | 14 of 39 | 24 of 41 (2 pushes) | 38 of 80 (2 pushes) | 21 of 39 | 14 of 41 | 35 of 80 |
What do these numbers mean?
Bookmakers give the weaker team a head start called the spread. A team covers when it wins by more than the spread, or loses by less than its head start. A push is a tie with the line, so bets were refunded. The total is the bookmakers' line for points in the game; over means the game finished above it. We count the main closing line just before the start, complete seasons only, plus this season so far.
Team history, counted from final scores. Not Bet Better’s picks.