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NBA

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Oklahoma City Thunder

+20.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Points Over 29.5 +100 (2.00)
+20.7% Edge
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Clippers
Intuit Dome, Inglewood
Thu 9 Apr, 2:00AM
Model Probability
70.7%
Implied Probability
50.0%
Model Edge
+20.7%
Predicted Value
32.7 Points

AI Analysis

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Oklahoma City Thunder) Over 29.5 Points (+100)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When you look at Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, it's hard to ignore his scoring prowess, especially in crucial matchups like this one against the Clippers. He's been a dynamo lately, averaging 30 points over his last five games, which includes an impressive 32.2 points against Los Angeles specifically. What stands out is his away performance; he's not just showing up, he's shining, with an average of 28 points on the road. And let's not forget his recent form-hitting the Over in 9 of his last 13 away games. With the Clippers likely focused on containing him, we can expect Shai to step up, especially given his expected stat value of 32.67 tonight. If he maintains that rhythm, hitting the Over 29.5 seems not just plausible, but likely. This matchup could be a showcase for his talent, and I see him rising to the occasion once again.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 25.0% (1/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs 34.5 Over -106 ✗ MISS
08 Apr 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Points 29.5 Over -132 ✗ MISS
08 Apr 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Points 24.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Points Pending

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About This Player

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Oklahoma City Thunder) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 25.0% (1/4). The latest model pick for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is Over 29.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.7% on this pick. Their next game is Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday 9 April at Intuit Dome, Inglewood. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.