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NBA

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Oklahoma City Thunder

+8.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Rebs + Asts Under 12.5 -141 (1.71)
+8.0% Edge
Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Fri 13 Mar, 1:30AM
Model Probability
66.5%
Implied Probability
58.5%
Model Edge
+8.0%
Predicted Value
11.1 Rebs + Asts

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Oklahoma City Thunder) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-141)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Thunder gear up to face the Celtics, all eyes will be on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, but a closer look at his recent performance suggests a compelling case for the under on his rebounds plus assists total of 12.5. Despite playing at home, where he averages 8.2 assists, his overall numbers reveal a trend-he's been more of a facilitator than a stat-stuffer lately. In his last five games, he's averaged just 4.4 rebounds and 5.6 assists. Against the Celtics, his numbers dip slightly, with only 6.5 assists and 8.5 rebounds at home. That brings his expected total down to around 11.05, well below our target. With a solid hit rate of 4 out of 5 for the under recently, this matchup feels ripe for a lower output from Shai. Take the under, and watch as the narrative unfolds.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (45 picks) 31.1% (14/45)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Mar 26 Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder Rebs + Asts 12.5 Under -141 ✗ MISS
13 Mar 26 Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder Rebs + Asts 12.5 Under -141 ✗ MISS
13 Mar 26 Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder Rebs + Asts 12.5 Under -141 ✗ MISS
13 Mar 26 Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder Rebs + Asts Pending
13 Mar 26 Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder Rebs + Asts Pending
13 Mar 26 Boston Celtics @ Oklahoma City Thunder Rebs + Asts Pending

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