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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Oklahoma City Thunder

Value call

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Oklahoma City Thunder) has one live pick today: over 29.5 points that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
80 in 100
Predicted
34.4 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 80.1% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +26.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Clippers
Intuit Dome, Inglewood, CA · Indoor
Wed 8 Apr, 10:00 PM ET
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
over 29.5 points
Points Over 29.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 80 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is Over 29.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 80 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 80%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 8:14AM UTC
DAY-TO-DAY
Gilgeous-Alexander (rest) won't play in Monday's preseason game against Atlanta, Clemente Almanza of USA Today reports.
updated Oct 10, 7:17PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points80.1%—53.2%1.25+26.9%

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AI Analysis

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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Oklahoma City Thunder) Over 29.5 Points (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Oklahoma City Thunder gear up to face the Los Angeles Clippers, all eyes should be on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, particularly when it comes to his point total. Averaging 30 points in his last five outings, including a solid 31 on the road, he's clearly in a scoring groove. Against the Clippers, he's historically found his rhythm, dropping an impressive 32.2 points per game in their recent matchups.What's even more compelling is that in his last 12 games away, he's hit this over nine times, showcasing his ability to thrive in hostile environments. With an expected stat value of 34.39, the odds are favoring a strong performance. Given the stakes and his current form, taking the over on Shai's points seems like a savvy move. He's not just a player; he's a scoring machine, and this matchup could be another showcase for his talents.

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Pick History & Track Record

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander — 2024-25 season averages

Over 88 games in the 2024-25 season, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averaged 31.5 points, 5.1 rebounds and 6.2 assists in 33.8 minutes per game, shooting 51.0% from the field and 36.1% from three-point range.

31.5
PPG
5.1
RPG
6.2
APG
1.7
SPG
1.0
BPG
33.8
MPG
51.0%
FG%
36.1%
3P%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 38.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

38.4
MPG (L5)
28.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander — points hit rate

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has scored over 15.5 points in 56% of 267 career games.

o11.573%
o12.568%
o15.556%
o20.536%
o25.518%
o30.510%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander — home vs away scoring

At home Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 31.5 points per game; on the road, 31.5. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

31.5
PPG at home
31.5
PPG on the road

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander — scoring by opponent

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scores most against the CLE, averaging 28.3 points per game in that matchup.

28.3
CLE
27.6
DET
27.4
SAC
26.8
WSH
26.7
ATL
26.3
PHX

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 29.4 points, 6.5 rebounds and 6.6 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Mayvs DEN393167
11 May@ DEN382566
9 May@ DEN4518137
7 Mayvs DEN303448
5 Mayvs DEN4033108
26 Apr@ MEM383856
24 Apr@ MEM403148
22 Aprvs MEM382785
20 Aprvs MEM231535
8 Aprvs LAL374266
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Apr 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Points — — — Pending
07 Apr 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Points — — — Pending
07 Apr 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Oklahoma City Thunder) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is Over 29.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.9% on this pick. Their next game is Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Clippers on Wednesday 8 April at Intuit Dome, Inglewood. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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