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The latest Bet Better model pick for Nickeil Alexander-Walker is Over 18.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 78%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +25.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:07PM UTC
NBA

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Atlanta Hawks

+25.7% Edge
🔥 19 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 18.5 -110 (1.91)
+25.7% Edge
Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks
Madison Square Garden, New York, NY · Indoor
Tue 21 Apr, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
78.0%
Implied Probability
52.4%
Model Edge
+25.7%
Predicted Value
23.8 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs78.0%—52.4%1.28+25.7%

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AI Analysis

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Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Atlanta Hawks) Over 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to Nickeil Alexander-Walker's performance, the numbers tell a compelling story that suggests he'll soar past the 18.5 mark in points and rebounds against the Knicks. Over his last five games, he's been a scoring machine, averaging an impressive 26.4 points, complemented by about 3 rebounds. Even on the road, he's managed to keep his scoring sharp at 23.8 points and 4 rebounds. Facing the Hawks, he typically finds a groove, averaging 20.4 points against them, and given his last eight away games, he hasn't just met that threshold-he's hit the over every single time. With an overall hit rate of 19 for 19, there's an undeniable rhythm to his game right now. As he steps onto the court in New York, expect Alexander-Walker to turn this matchup into another highlight reel, exceeding that 18.5 mark with relative ease.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.2avg · last 10
L51.4Szn1.7Home1.5Away1.8Best6
1+79%
2+49%
3+21%
4+12%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.2 · hi 4 · lo 0
2101120401

Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 1.2 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.7, best 6). He clears 2+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
2.7avg · last 10
L52.4Szn2.7Home2.6Away2.8Best9
1+90%
3+52%
5+14%
7+2%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 2.7 · hi 7 · lo 0
7332030342

Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 2.7 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.7, best 9). He clears 3+ in 52% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
7.2avg · last 10
L58.6Szn9.2Home9.0Away9.4Best37
4+87%
9+48%
14+19%
19+8%
Game log vs O 8.5avg 7.2 · hi 20 · lo 0
9744510020013

Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 7.2 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.2, best 37). He clears 9+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
9.1avg · last 10
L510.0Szn12.3Home12.1Away12.4Best45
2+99%
7+82%
12+49%
17+22%
22+8%
Game log vs O 11.5avg 9.1 · hi 22 · lo 0
14867611022215

Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 9.1 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 12.3, best 45). He clears 12+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.9avg · last 10
L51.4Szn3.1Home3.1Away3.0Best14
1+96%
3+53%
5+21%
7+4%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 1.9 · hi 5 · lo 0
5123110222

Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 1.9 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.1, best 14). He clears 3+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
4.6avg · last 10
L53.8Szn5.7Home5.7Away5.8Best16
3+91%
6+45%
9+15%
12+3%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 4.6 · hi 12 · lo 0
12455140564

Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 4.6 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.7, best 16). He clears 6+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs 18.5 Over -110 ✗ MISS
21 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks Assists 5.5 Under -135 ✗ MISS
10 Apr 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Atlanta Hawks 3-Pointers 3.5 Under +101 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Points — — — Pending
08 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers 3-Pointers — — — Pending
08 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers 3-Pointers — — — Pending

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About This Player

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Atlanta Hawks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Nickeil Alexander-Walker is currently on a 19-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Nickeil Alexander-Walker is Over 18.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +25.7% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks on Tuesday 21 April at Madison Square Garden, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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