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Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Atlanta Hawks

Value call

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Atlanta Hawks) has one live pick today: under 3.5 threes that pays $205 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
59 in 100
Predicted
3.0 threes
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 59.1% · before adjusting for past results 65.1% · the book's price implies 48.8% · gap +10.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Atlanta Hawks @ Milwaukee Bucks
Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI · Indoor
Sun 15 Nov, 8:00 PM ET
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
under 3.5 threes
3-Pointers Under 3.5 +105 (2.05) · $100→$205
Value call
LEANWins about 59 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$20.50 Odds+105
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nickeil Alexander-Walker is Under 3.5 on 3-Pointers.
On 3-Pointers, our numbers say this bet wins about 59 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 59%, the price says 49%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:05PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nba pts + rebs unders: +$4,002 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
3-Pointers65.1%59.1%48.8%1.69+16.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks: Nickeil Alexander-Walker Under 3.5 3-Pointers (+105)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Milwaukee Bucks have a strong defense when it comes to guarding the three-point line, allowing opponents to take a lot of shots from beyond the arc. Nickeil Alexander-Walker might find it tough to get open looks against their pressure. With the Bucks forcing fewer turnovers than average, they may not create enough fast-break opportunities for him to score from deep. Both teams also give up a similar number of rebounds, but the Bucks' solid defense could limit Alexander-Walker's chances to shoot. Plus, the odds look good, giving us a nice opportunity here. Just remember, the biggest risk is that he might surprise everyone and hit a few threes, but it seems unlikely to go over 3.5 tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Nickeil Alexander-Walker's lines for Mon 16 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

3-Pointers 3.5

Nickeil Alexander-Walker's 3-pointers line is 3.5.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker — 2024-25 season averages

Over 91 games in the 2024-25 season, Nickeil Alexander-Walker averaged 9.2 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.7 assists in 24.7 minutes per game, shooting 43.1% from the field and 37.5% from three-point range.

9.2
PPG
3.1
RPG
2.7
APG
0.6
SPG
0.4
BPG
24.7
MPG
43.1%
FG%
37.5%
3P%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Nickeil Alexander-Walker has played 20.0 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

20.0
MPG (L5)
8.6
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Nickeil Alexander-Walker — points hit rate

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has scored over 11.5 points in 39% of 162 career games.

o11.539%
o12.535%
o15.517%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker — home vs away scoring

At home Nickeil Alexander-Walker averages 9.0 points per game; on the road, 9.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

9.0
PPG at home
9.4
PPG on the road

Nickeil Alexander-Walker — scoring by opponent

Nickeil Alexander-Walker scores most against the OKC, averaging 11.4 points per game in that matchup.

11.4
OKC
10.7
UTAH
9.3
LAC
9.1
DEN
8.4
POR
8.3
PHX

Nickeil Alexander-Walker — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Nickeil Alexander-Walker has averaged 7.2 points, 1.9 rebounds and 2.7 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 May@ GS171322
10 May@ GS18024
8 Mayvs GS262023
6 Mayvs GS14000
30 Apr@ LAL251013
27 Aprvs LAL12510
25 Aprvs LAL14432
22 Apr@ LAL29423
19 Apr@ LAL20713
13 Aprvs UTAH33957
Quick answers:How many assists does Nickeil Alexander-Walker average?How many points does Nickeil Alexander-Walker average?How many rebounds does Nickeil Alexander-Walker average?How many three-pointers does Nickeil Alexander-Walker average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Apr 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Atlanta Hawks 3-Pointers 3.5 Under +101 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers 3-Pointers 4.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers Rebounds 4.5 Under -145 ✓ HIT
04 Nov 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Washington Wizards Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
04 Nov 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Washington Wizards Points — — — Pending
04 Nov 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Washington Wizards Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Atlanta Hawks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nickeil Alexander-Walker is Under 3.5 on 3-Pointers. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.3% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday 15 November at Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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