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The latest Bet Better model pick for Trey Murphy III is Under 30.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists.
On Points + Rebounds + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 74%, implied 53%, edge +20.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:35PM UTC
NBA

Trey Murphy III

New Orleans Pelicans

+20.5% Edge
🔥 4 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 30.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+20.5% Edge
Orlando Magic @ New Orleans Pelicans
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA · Indoor
Sun 5 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
25.7 Pts + Rebs + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.6% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +20.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs + Asts73.6%—53.2%1.36+20.5%

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AI Analysis

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Trey Murphy III (New Orleans Pelicans) Under 30.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the New Orleans Pelicans gear up to face the Orlando Magic, all eyes should be on Trey Murphy III's performance. Despite his recent surge at home, averaging 21 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 3.4 assists, the match-up against the Magic poses a unique challenge. Historically, Murphy has struggled against Orlando, averaging just 10.5 points at home and posting a combined average of 25.75 in points, rebounds, and assists over his last five games. With his overall numbers trending down against this opponent, it's clear that he may not reach the 30.5 mark set for him. The Pelicans' game plan likely shifts with the Magic's defensive schemes, which could limit Murphy's contributions even further. Given his average of only 16 points against them and a hit rate of just 4 out of the last 4 games on this prop, betting the under feels like a smart move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Trey Murphy III — 2024-25 season averages

Over 53 games in the 2024-25 season, Trey Murphy III averaged 21.2 points, 5.1 rebounds and 3.5 assists in 35.0 minutes per game, shooting 45.4% from the field and 36.1% from three-point range.

21.2
PPG
5.1
RPG
3.5
APG
1.1
SPG
0.7
BPG
35.0
MPG
45.4%
FG%
36.1%
3P%

Trey Murphy III — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Trey Murphy III has played 29.0 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

29.0
MPG (L5)
17.0
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Trey Murphy III — home vs away scoring

At home Trey Murphy III averages 21.3 points per game; on the road, 21.1. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

21.3
PPG at home
21.1
PPG on the road

Trey Murphy III — scoring by opponent

Trey Murphy III scores most against the POR, averaging 17.9 points per game in that matchup.

17.9
POR
17.4
MEM
16.3
DEN
15.5
SAC
14.8
DAL
13.6
SA

Trey Murphy III — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Trey Murphy III has averaged 17.3 points, 4.5 rebounds and 3.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
17 Marvs DET1000
15 Mar@ SA372063
13 Marvs ORL341752
11 Marvs LAC362143
9 Marvs MEM372752
8 Mar@ HOU311352
6 Marvs HOU392650
4 Mar@ LAL331965
2 Mar@ UTAH362066
28 Feb@ PHX351038
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Asts 19.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Trey Murphy III (New Orleans Pelicans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Trey Murphy III is currently on a 4-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Trey Murphy III is Under 30.5 on Points + Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.5% on this pick. Their next game is Orlando Magic vs New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday 5 April at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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