Trey Murphy III (New Orleans Pelicans) Under 4.5 Assists (-161)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingAs the New Orleans Pelicans gear up to face the Dallas Mavericks, all eyes will be on Trey Murphy III, but betting on him to go over 4.5 assists might not be the wisest move. Despite the Pelicans playing at home, Murphy has averaged just 2 assists in his last five games overall, and even lower at 1.4 assists in his recent home outings. His overall hit rate suggests he's been solid at staying under this mark, hitting it 7 out of 7 times lately. Against the Mavericks specifically, his average dips to around 2.8 assists at home. With an expected stat value of just 3.1, it's hard to imagine Murphy finding those extra assists against a Dallas team that plays strong perimeter defense. Given these trends, betting the under on Murphy's assists feels like a savvy choice.