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Trey Murphy III

New Orleans Pelicans

+20.5% Edge
🔥 4 Consecutive Hits
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs + Asts Under 30.5 -114 (1.88)
+20.5% Edge
Orlando Magic @ New Orleans Pelicans
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans
Sun 5 Apr, 11:00PM
Model Probability
73.6%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+20.5%
Predicted Value
25.7 Pts + Rebs + Asts

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Trey Murphy III (New Orleans Pelicans) Under 30.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the New Orleans Pelicans gear up to face the Orlando Magic, all eyes should be on Trey Murphy III's performance. Despite his recent surge at home, averaging 21 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 3.4 assists, the match-up against the Magic poses a unique challenge. Historically, Murphy has struggled against Orlando, averaging just 10.5 points at home and posting a combined average of 25.75 in points, rebounds, and assists over his last five games. With his overall numbers trending down against this opponent, it's clear that he may not reach the 30.5 mark set for him. The Pelicans' game plan likely shifts with the Magic's defensive schemes, which could limit Murphy's contributions even further. Given his average of only 16 points against them and a hit rate of just 4 out of the last 4 games on this prop, betting the under feels like a smart move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 50.0% (2/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Apr 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Sacramento Kings Pts + Asts 25.5 Under -109 ✓ HIT
17 Mar 26 Dallas Mavericks @ New Orleans Pelicans Assists 4.5 Under -161 ✗ MISS
07 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Asts 19.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
04 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Trey Murphy III (New Orleans Pelicans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (2/4). Trey Murphy III is currently on a 4-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Trey Murphy III is Under 30.5 on Pts + Rebs + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.5% on this pick. Their next game is Orlando Magic vs New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday 5 April at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.