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Trey Murphy III

New Orleans Pelicans

Value call

Trey Murphy III (New Orleans Pelicans) has one live pick today: under 14.5 points that pays $310 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
14.4 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.1% · before adjusting for past results 53.9% · the book's price implies 32.3% · gap +17.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Sacramento Kings @ New Orleans Pelicans
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA · Indoor
Thu 29 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Trey Murphy III
under 14.5 points
Points Under 14.5 +210 (3.10) · $100→$310
Value call
LEANWins about 50 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$31.00 Odds+210
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Trey Murphy III is Under 14.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 32%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 11:21AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points53.9%50.1%32.3%2.00+21.7%

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AI Analysis

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New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings: Trey Murphy III Under 14.5 Points (+210)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Trey Murphy III has been a bit quiet lately, and that makes this bet on him scoring under 14.5 points interesting. The New Orleans Pelicans have a tendency to allow a lot of three-point attempts, but they also play tough defense when it counts. Plus, the Kings are known for their solid defense, making it even tougher for Murphy to get going. With both teams forcing turnovers at similar rates, this game could get a bit chaotic. The risk here is that Murphy could surprise us with a big night, but given how close the two sides are, it's worth taking a shot on him staying under that points total.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)

Trey Murphy III — 2024-25 season averages

Over 53 games in the 2024-25 season, Trey Murphy III averaged 21.2 points, 5.1 rebounds and 3.5 assists in 35.0 minutes per game, shooting 45.4% from the field and 36.1% from three-point range.

21.2
PPG
5.1
RPG
3.5
APG
1.1
SPG
0.7
BPG
35.0
MPG
45.4%
FG%
36.1%
3P%

Trey Murphy III — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Trey Murphy III has played 29.0 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

29.0
MPG (L5)
17.0
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Trey Murphy III — home vs away scoring

At home Trey Murphy III averages 21.3 points per game; on the road, 21.1. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

21.3
PPG at home
21.1
PPG on the road

Trey Murphy III — scoring by opponent

Trey Murphy III scores most against the POR, averaging 17.9 points per game in that matchup.

17.9
POR
17.4
MEM
16.3
DEN
15.5
SAC
14.8
DAL
13.6
SA

Trey Murphy III — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Trey Murphy III has averaged 17.3 points, 4.5 rebounds and 3.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
17 Marvs DET1000
15 Mar@ SA372063
13 Marvs ORL341752
11 Marvs LAC362143
9 Marvs MEM372752
8 Mar@ HOU311352
6 Marvs HOU392650
4 Mar@ LAL331965
2 Mar@ UTAH362066
28 Feb@ PHX351038
Quick answers:How many assists does Trey Murphy III average?How many points does Trey Murphy III average?How many rebounds does Trey Murphy III average?How many three-pointers does Trey Murphy III average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Oct 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Utah Jazz Points 18.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
23 Oct 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Utah Jazz 3-Pointers 2.5 Under +120 ✓ HIT
21 Oct 26 Indiana Pacers @ New Orleans Pelicans Pts + Asts 22.5 Under +125 ✓ HIT
29 Oct 26 Sacramento Kings @ New Orleans Pelicans Points — — — Pending
29 Oct 26 Sacramento Kings @ New Orleans Pelicans Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
29 Oct 26 Sacramento Kings @ New Orleans Pelicans Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Trey Murphy III (New Orleans Pelicans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Trey Murphy III is Under 14.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.7% on this pick. Their next game is Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans on Thursday 29 October at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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