Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
NBA

Marcus Smart

Houston Rockets

Value call
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits

Marcus Smart (Houston Rockets) has one live pick today: over 9.5 pts rebs that pays $185 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
13.4 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.5% · before adjusting for past results 69.8% · the book's price implies 54.1% · gap -4.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Houston Rockets
Toyota Center, Houston, TX · Indoor
Wed 4 Nov, 8:30 PM ET
Marcus Smart
over 9.5 pts rebs
Pts + Rebs Over 9.5 -118 (1.85) · $100→$185
Value call
LEANWins about 49 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.50 Odds-118
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Marcus Smart is Over 9.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 54%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Nov 13, 2:53PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nba pts + rebs unders: +$3,013 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Smart has been suspended three games for throwing a punch during Wednesday's matchup against Golden State, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
updated Nov 12, 10:45PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs69.8%49.5%54.1%2.02+15.8%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves: Marcus Smart Over 9.5 Pts + Rebs (-118)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Marcus Smart has been showing a strong all-around game lately, helping his team in both scoring and rebounding. With the Houston Rockets allowing a lot of three-point attempts, he could find plenty of chances to rack up points, especially if he gets hot from beyond the arc. Plus, the Timberwolves give up about 44 rebounds a game, which should help Smart grab a few boards as well. Betting on him to score over 9.5 points and rebounds looks promising based on his recent form. The big risk here is that both teams are closely matched, so it could be a tight game where Smart's opportunities might be limited. Still, he has a solid chance to hit that mark given how he's been playing.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Marcus Smart — 2024-25 season averages

Over 34 games in the 2024-25 season, Marcus Smart averaged 9.0 points, 2.1 rebounds and 3.2 assists in 20.0 minutes per game, shooting 39.3% from the field and 34.8% from three-point range.

9.0
PPG
2.1
RPG
3.2
APG
1.1
SPG
0.3
BPG
20.0
MPG
39.3%
FG%
34.8%
3P%

Marcus Smart — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Marcus Smart has played 17.6 minutes per game and started 20% of them.

17.6
MPG (L5)
8.4
PPG (L5)
20%
Started

Marcus Smart — points hit rate

Marcus Smart has scored over 11.5 points in 39% of 610 career games.

o11.539%
o12.533%
o15.519%

Marcus Smart — home vs away scoring

At home Marcus Smart averages 9.1 points per game; on the road, 8.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

9.1
PPG at home
8.9
PPG on the road

Marcus Smart — scoring by opponent

Marcus Smart scores most against the GS, averaging 15.2 points per game in that matchup.

15.2
GS
15.1
DAL
14.4
BKN
13.0
MIA
12.6
LAL
12.5
CLE

Marcus Smart — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Marcus Smart has averaged 9.5 points, 2.2 rebounds and 3.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
3 Aprvs ORL251230
31 Marvs MIA20412
29 Marvs BKN7312
24 Marvs TOR12621
22 Mar@ NY241743
19 Mar@ UTAH14004
13 Mar@ DET241547
11 Mar@ DET211622
8 Mar@ TOR18914
5 Marvs UTAH181345
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Nov 26 Boston Celtics @ Houston Rockets Pts + Rebs 9.5 Over -110 ✓ HIT
04 Nov 26 Minnesota Timberwolves @ Houston Rockets Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
31 Oct 26 Oklahoma City Thunder @ Houston Rockets 3-Pointers — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Assists — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Marcus Smart (Houston Rockets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Marcus Smart is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Marcus Smart is Over 9.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.8% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets on Wednesday 4 November at Toyota Center, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.