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Marcus Smart

Los Angeles Lakers

Value call
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits

Marcus Smart (Los Angeles Lakers) has one live pick today: under 15.5 pts asts that pays $192 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
81 in 100
Predicted
9.9 Pts + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 81.1% · the book's price implies 52.1% · gap +29.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA · Indoor
Sat 18 Apr, 8:30 PM ET
Marcus Smart
under 15.5 pts asts
Pts + Asts Under 15.5 -109 (1.92) · $100→$192
Value call
HIGHWins about 81 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.20 Odds-109
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Marcus Smart is Under 15.5 on Points + Assists.
On Points + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 81 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 81%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 23, 8:02AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts81.1%—52.1%1.23+29.0%

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AI Analysis

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Marcus Smart (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 15.5 Points + Assists (-109)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Lakers prepare to take on the Rockets at home, all eyes will be on Marcus Smart, particularly when it comes to his points and assists. The current line of 15.5 feels a bit high given his recent performance. Over his last five games, he's been averaging just 6.2 points and 5.2 assists, which combined barely scratches the surface of that total. When facing the Rockets, Smart has historically averaged only 7 points and 2 assists, a trend that's even more pronounced in home matchups, where he's managed just 7 points and 5.5 assists. With a hit rate of 10 out of his last 12 home games favoring the Under, it's hard to ignore the evidence. Given these numbers and the current stakes, targeting the Under on Smart's combined points and assists might just be the smart play this Sunday.

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Pick History & Track Record

Marcus Smart — 2024-25 season averages

Over 34 games in the 2024-25 season, Marcus Smart averaged 9.0 points, 2.1 rebounds and 3.2 assists in 20.0 minutes per game, shooting 39.3% from the field and 34.8% from three-point range.

9.0
PPG
2.1
RPG
3.2
APG
1.1
SPG
0.3
BPG
20.0
MPG
39.3%
FG%
34.8%
3P%

Marcus Smart — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Marcus Smart has played 17.6 minutes per game and started 20% of them.

17.6
MPG (L5)
8.4
PPG (L5)
20%
Started

Marcus Smart — points hit rate

Marcus Smart has scored over 11.5 points in 39% of 610 career games.

o11.539%
o12.533%
o15.519%

Marcus Smart — home vs away scoring

At home Marcus Smart averages 9.1 points per game; on the road, 8.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

9.1
PPG at home
8.9
PPG on the road

Marcus Smart — scoring by opponent

Marcus Smart scores most against the GS, averaging 15.2 points per game in that matchup.

15.2
GS
15.1
DAL
14.4
BKN
13.0
MIA
12.6
LAL
12.5
CLE

Marcus Smart — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Marcus Smart has averaged 9.5 points, 2.2 rebounds and 3.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
3 Aprvs ORL251230
31 Marvs MIA20412
29 Marvs BKN7312
24 Marvs TOR12621
22 Mar@ NY241743
19 Mar@ UTAH14004
13 Mar@ DET241547
11 Mar@ DET211622
8 Mar@ TOR18914
5 Marvs UTAH181345
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Assists — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Marcus Smart (Los Angeles Lakers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Marcus Smart is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Marcus Smart is Under 15.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.0% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday 18 April at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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