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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Marcus Smart is Under 1.5 on 3-Pointers.
On 3-Pointers, our numbers say this bet wins about 63 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 63%, implied 48%, edge +15.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:41AM UTC
NBA

Marcus Smart

Los Angeles Lakers

+15.1% Edge
🔥 5 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
3-Pointers Under 1.5 +107 (2.07) · $100→$207
+15.1% Edge
Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
63 in 100
Predicted
1.3 3-Pointers
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 63.4% · the book's price implies 48.3% · gap +15.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
3-Pointers63.4%48.3%1.58+15.1%

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AI Analysis

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Marcus Smart (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 1.5 Threes Made (+107)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Lakers gear up to host the Rockets, Marcus Smart's three-point shooting is a compelling angle to explore. Despite his reputation as a perimeter threat, recent performances tell a different story-especially at home. Over his last five outings, Smart has averaged just 1.4 threes at home, and against the Rockets, that number dips to 1.0. With the Lakers' defensive schemes focusing on limiting perimeter shots, Smart's opportunities could be further constrained. Additionally, he's only hit the over on 1.5 threes in 4 of his last 5 home games, reinforcing the belief that he's more of a facilitator than a shooter right now. Given these trends, betting the under on Smart's threes made feels like a wise play, especially with the odds suggesting a solid value. Look for him to contribute in other areas while staying under the mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Marcus Smart — 2024-25 season averages

Over 34 games in the 2024-25 season, Marcus Smart averaged 9.0 points, 2.1 rebounds and 3.2 assists in 20.0 minutes per game, shooting 39.3% from the field and 34.8% from three-point range.

9.0
PPG
2.1
RPG
3.2
APG
1.1
SPG
0.3
BPG
20.0
MPG
39.3%
FG%
34.8%
3P%

Marcus Smart — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Marcus Smart has played 17.6 minutes per game and started 20% of them.

17.6
MPG (L5)
8.4
PPG (L5)
20%
Started

Marcus Smart — points hit rate

Marcus Smart has scored over 11.5 points in 39% of 610 career games.

o11.539%
o12.533%
o15.519%

Marcus Smart — home vs away scoring

At home Marcus Smart averages 9.1 points per game; on the road, 8.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

9.1
PPG at home
8.9
PPG on the road

Marcus Smart — scoring by opponent

Marcus Smart scores most against the GS, averaging 15.2 points per game in that matchup.

15.2
GS
15.1
DAL
14.4
BKN
13.0
MIA
12.6
LAL
12.5
CLE

Marcus Smart — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Marcus Smart has averaged 9.5 points, 2.2 rebounds and 3.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
3 Aprvs ORL251230
31 Marvs MIA20412
29 Marvs BKN7312
24 Marvs TOR12621
22 Mar@ NY241743
19 Mar@ UTAH14004
13 Mar@ DET241547
11 Mar@ DET211622
8 Mar@ TOR18914
5 Marvs UTAH181345
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Marcus Smart (Los Angeles Lakers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Marcus Smart is currently on a 5-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Marcus Smart is Under 1.5 on 3-Pointers. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.1% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday 19 April at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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