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Model picks & player props
Toronto Raptors
VS
Boston Celtics

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:17AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
TD Garden, Boston
Indoor
Sun 5 Apr 2026, 7:30PM
20
Game Picks
13
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Boston Celtics (Moneyline)
For Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics (NBA), model win probability 81.6%, fair odds 1.22, book price -400, model edge +1.6%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 5 Apr 2026, 7:30PM at TD Garden.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Boston Celtics
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Boston CelticsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Toronto Raptors

  • Nate Bittle CDay-to-day
  • Alijah Martin GDay-to-day
  • Allen Graves FDay-to-day
  • Chucky Hepburn GDay-to-day
  • Collin Murray-Boyles FDay-to-day
  • Brandon Ingram FDay-to-day
  • Immanuel Quickley GDay-to-day

Boston Celtics

  • Chris Cenac Jr. FDay-to-day
  • Dillon Mitchell FDay-to-day
  • Hugo Gonzalez GDay-to-day
  • Jayson Tatum FDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 11:38PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Scottie Barnes Toronto Raptors Assists 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Scottie Barnes Toronto Raptors Pts + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Scottie Barnes Toronto Raptors Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jaylen Brown Boston Celtics Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Neemias Queta Boston Celtics Points 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsToronto Raptors @ Boston CelticsNo line posted

Boston Celtics and Toronto Raptors combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadBoston Celtics spreadNo line posted

Boston Celtics (season record) meet Toronto Raptors; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineBoston Celtics to winNo line posted

Boston Celtics (season record) host or visit Toronto Raptors; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Boston Celtics totalNo line posted

Boston Celtics averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Toronto Raptors; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Toronto Raptors totalNo line posted

Toronto Raptors averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Boston Celtics; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Sam Hauser. Check out NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors stats and odds.</p>

Sam Hauser (Boston Celtics) Over 9.5 Points + Rebounds (-167)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Sam Hauser is primed for a standout performance against the Raptors this Sunday, making the Over on his combined points and rebounds at 9.5 a savvy bet. At home, he's been particularly effective, averaging 13.2 points against Toronto over their last few matchups and consistently hitting the Over in 8 of his last 11 games at TD Garden. In his last five games overall, he's averaged 12 points and 3.6 rebounds, and his current form suggests he's well above the threshold needed. The Celtics will be looking to intensify their playoff push, and Hauser has shown he thrives in these moments-hitting his marks with a perfect 6-for-6 in his last outings. With an expected stat value nudging towards 15, it feels like a safe bet that he'll not only meet but exceed that 9.5 line against a Raptors team that historically struggles to contain him.

Jamal Shead (Toronto Raptors) Over 9.5 Points + Rebounds (-102)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for the clash between the Boston Celtics and the Toronto Raptors, keep an eye on Jamal Shead's potential to exceed 9.5 combined points and rebounds. With a recent average of 9 points and nearly a rebound per game, his numbers are on the rise, especially considering he hit the mark in three of his last four outings.Though he's been away from home, Shead's performance against the Raptors has shown promise; he averages 8 points and 2 rebounds in their last five matchups. Those numbers hint at the potential for a breakout. The Celtics are strong defensively, but they can be vulnerable to crafty guards like Shead, who will be looking to capitalize on every opportunity. Given his expected stat value of 12.8, it feels like we're getting a sweet deal here. Let's ride the wave and back Shead to go over 9.5 in this pivotal game.

Jakob Poeltl (Toronto Raptors) Over 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Raptors head into Boston, Jakob Poeltl is primed to make an impact on the court. Averaging 13.6 points and 6.8 rebounds over his last five games, those numbers don't fully reflect his potential, especially against a Celtics team that struggles to contain skilled big men. In his recent outings against Boston, Poeltl has tallied an impressive 16 points per game, with a notable 10 rebounds in their last matchup. Even on the road, he's shown he can rise to the occasion, averaging 10.8 points and 5.6 rebounds away from home. With the Celtics' frontcourt facing injury issues, the opportunity for Poeltl to exploit mismatches is ripe. Given his recent form, including a 4-for-5 hit rate on this combined points and rebounds prop, it's reasonable to expect him to surpass that 16.5 mark. With an expected stat value of over 20, you'll want

Jaylen Brown (Boston Celtics) Over 28.5 Points + Rebounds (-250)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Boston Celtics gear up to face the Toronto Raptors, all eyes should be on Jaylen Brown. The dynamic forward has been on an absolute tear, averaging 31.6 points and 6.2 rebounds over his last five games. At home, he's even more effective, posting nearly 30 points and 6.4 rebounds per game. Against the Raptors, Brown has found his groove, averaging 24.8 points and 7.6 rebounds in their recent matchups at TD Garden. With an impressive 8-for-8 hit rate in his last eight games, including a perfect 4-for-4 at home, it's hard not to see him eclipsing the 28.5 mark. The Celtics are looking to solidify their playoff position, and Brown's scoring will be pivotal. Expect him to shine brightly on his home court once again, making the over a smart play.

Nikola Vucevic (Boston Celtics) Over 10.5 Points + Rebounds (-333)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Celtics gear up to face the Raptors, Nikola Vucevic stands out as a prime candidate for the Over on points and rebounds at 10.5. He's been on a tear lately, averaging 11.2 points and 6.4 rebounds in his last five outings, but the numbers really shine when he's at home. In that environment, he's boosted his averages to 13 points and 7.6 rebounds, showcasing a commanding presence on the court.Against Toronto, Vucevic has historically excelled, racking up an average of 21 points and 10 rebounds in their last few matchups. With a staggering hit rate of 19 out of his last 20 home games, he's proving to be a reliable bet. The stars are aligning for Vucevic to eclipse that 10.5 mark with confidence, making this player prop not just appealing, but almost a foregone conclusion.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
1
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
05 Apr 26 Moneyline Boston Celtics ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics in the NBA. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Sunday 5 April 2026 at TD Garden. The model has generated 20 game picks and 13 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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