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Model picks & player props
Portland Trail Blazers
VS
Phoenix Suns

Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:19AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
4
Game Picks
3
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Over 186.5 (Total Points)
For Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns (NBA), model win probability 98.5%, fair odds 1.02, book price -270, model edge +26.5%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Total Points
Over
186.5
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Phoenix SunsMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Phoenix SunsPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Portland Trail Blazers

  • Ja Morant GDay-to-day
  • Damian Lillard GDay-to-day

Phoenix Suns

  • CJ Huntley FDay-to-day
  • Rasheer Fleming FDay-to-day
  • Koa Peat FDay-to-day
  • Khaman Maluach CDay-to-day
  • Mark Williams CDay-to-day
  • Jordan Goodwin GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 2:49AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 8 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability8 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Scoot Henderson Portland Trail Blazers Pts + Rebs + Asts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Scoot Henderson Portland Trail Blazers 3-Pointers 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Collin Gillespie Phoenix Suns Steals 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsPortland Trail Blazers @ Phoenix SunsNo line posted

Phoenix Suns and Portland Trail Blazers combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadPhoenix Suns spreadNo line posted

Phoenix Suns (season record) meet Portland Trail Blazers; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylinePhoenix Suns to winNo line posted

Phoenix Suns (season record) host or visit Portland Trail Blazers; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Phoenix Suns totalNo line posted

Phoenix Suns averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Portland Trail Blazers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Portland Trail Blazers totalNo line posted

Portland Trail Blazers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Phoenix Suns; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Portland Trail Blazers @ Phoenix Suns — model preview

<p>Latest NBA betting preview: Phoenix Suns vs Portland Trail Blazers. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Scoot Henderson. Keywords: NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Phoenix Suns vs Portland Trail Blazers stats and odds.</p>

Scoot Henderson (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-208)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The betting rationale hinges upon Scoot Henderson's current three-point shooting trend. Over the last five games, Henderson has averaged 1.4 three-point field goals overall, which falls below the proposed Outcome Point of 2.5. This trend is even more pronounced in away games, where his average drops to 1. Furthermore, Henderson's performance against the Phoenix Suns specifically, averages at 1.6 three-point field goals, and even lower when playing against the Suns away from home, at 0.7. This consistent underperformance relative to the 2.5 threshold supports the bet for under 2.5 three-point field goals. Moreover, this is reinforced by his strong hit rate in his last 5 away games, successfully making his three-point shots 5 out of 5 times. Therefore, based on these stats, the bet is rational and statistically supported.

Phoenix Suns vs Portland Trail Blazers : Phoenix Suns 2.5 (-122)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Phoenix Suns are a solid bet for this game, given their recent performance at home. In their last five home games, they've won four times, which shows their strength on their own turf. Furthermore, their overall score of 116.6 in the last five games exceeds the Trail Blazers' 113.8, indicating that the Suns have been outscoring their opponents. Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers have a poor away record of 1-4 and an even worse average opponent score of 129.2, suggesting defensive struggles on the road. Despite the Suns' recent record against the Trail Blazers, their superior scoring and home advantage, combined with the Trail Blazers' weak away form, make the Suns a strong bet for the point spread market.

Collin Gillespie (Denver Nuggets) Over 0.5 Steals (-208)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Collin Gillespie has a strong track record when it comes to steals. Looking at his last five games overall, he has averaged two steals per game. Even when considering only home games, his average is still over the mark at 1.2 steals. This indicates a consistent defensive performance, regardless of the venue. Furthermore, his hit rate for achieving more than 0.5 steals is perfect in his last six games overall and his last four home games. Although his average steals against Portland are lower, the small margin of 0.5 steals gives him a reasonable chance to exceed it. Hence, betting on Gillespie for Over 0.5 steals is statistically supported by his recent performance and reliability in defensive plays.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns in the NBA. The model has generated 4 game picks and 3 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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